NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9edc8a498407bcd6872e021a58c042c225f6d02722fa0c3ff0e892cebaa0c6ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 48c | 58,194$27,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,355.63 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.99 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 10,857$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.32 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.99 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 8,776$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 51c | 6,731$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.72 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 50c | 5,513$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.5 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…7aa4backed Under | 51c | 4,617$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 4,222$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.86 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Over | 49c | 3,874$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.72 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Over | 52c | 3,841$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.61 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 3,465$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 3,274$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.68 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Over | 51c | 3,211$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.39 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Over | 51c | 3,168$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.48 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…0abbbacked Under | 51c | 2,886$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 2,848$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.34 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 45c | 2,062$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.13 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 1,931$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.18 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 1,894$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 1,628$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.91 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 16c | 1,439$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 60c | 1,407$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.7 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 1,403$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.68 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 1,247$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.03 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 51c | 978.43$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 967.71$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.53 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 930.96$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.79 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 5c | 875.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 51c | 728$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.28 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 51c | 699.98$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 50c | 670$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 52c | 551.68$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.31 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 501.85$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 50c | 474$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 30c | 390$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 52c | 299.53$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.75 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 50c | 297.58$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 289.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.44 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9222…dcfdbacked Under | 14c | 266.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 49c | 246.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 55c | 241.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed Under | 10c | 239.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 52c | 207.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Over | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed Over | 51c | 204.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Over | 51c | 168.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 147.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Under | 9c | 120.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 51c | 118.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 49c | 118.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 51c | 91.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Over | 52c | 71.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 51c | 67.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 54.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…83b2backed Under | 52c | 53.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 52c | 52.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…cfffbacked Under | 52c | 48.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 34c | 45.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…9f2cbacked Under | 49c | 43.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…f3ffbacked Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 52c | 37.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 51c | 36.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 51c | 36.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 51c | 35.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. NuggetsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.