NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x438e27fd2b5379d54c07c14f33317c59af1ec023e11f3e3852f1026dbac1d6d0

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Nuggets
Resolved: Feb 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $564,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $562,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,674 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder	45c	362,192$162,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199,206.41	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets	55c	326,489$179,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179,569.05	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Thunder	45c	74,936$33,721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,214.59	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets	55c	40,000$22,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,000	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder	47c	38,902$18,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,561.79	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Nuggets	58c	29,121$16,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,873.35	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Nuggets	56c	19,643$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Nuggets	55c	19,100$10,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,505.27	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Nuggets	53c	18,311$9,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,705.01	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Thunder	41c	14,274$5,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,421.63	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Nuggets	53c	12,138$6,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,433.15	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Nuggets	55c	11,111$6,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,111.05	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	55c	10,518$5,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,734.54	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Nuggets	57c	7,048$4,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,009	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Thunder	45c	5,475$2,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,032.24	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder	70c	4,646$3,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,392.12	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder	46c	4,508$2,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,438.66	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder	42c	4,000$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,320	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e86…d720backed Thunder	46c	3,856$1,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,091.05	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Nuggets	14c	2,792$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.94	448	21.4%96 W · 352 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Nuggets	56c	2,679$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Nuggets	48c	2,292$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Nuggets	25c	2,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Nuggets	53c	1,472$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.34	435	43.4%189 W · 246 L	-16.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Nuggets	58c	1,426$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$826	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	42c	1,385$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.46	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder	42c	1,000$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Nuggets	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Nuggets	56c	925.9$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.41	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Thunder	43c	901.38$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.93	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	54c	864.74$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.52	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Nuggets	50c	743$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.46	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets	53c	520.75$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.59	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Thunder	45c	444.44$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.44	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nuggets	51c	429.35$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.55	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Nuggets	56c	386.39$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.38	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Nuggets	56c	358.93$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Thunder	46c	292.53$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.04	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder	41c	276.29$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.01	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Thunder	47c	272.18$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.88	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Thunder	52c	266.66$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.06	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Thunder	52c	230.77$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.77	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c63…b90dbacked Nuggets	56c	214.29$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Nuggets	50c	210$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	182	40.7%74 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Nuggets	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nuggets	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder	45c	199.96$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.41	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Nuggets	54c	198.12$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.7	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Nuggets	55c	180$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder	48c	162$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.86	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Thunder	46c	154.04$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.64	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder	47c	137.74$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c62…7565backed Nuggets	51c	116.56$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Nuggets	56c	114.29$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Nuggets	55c	109.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Nuggets	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	168	53%89 W · 79 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Nuggets	57c	108.65$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.93	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Thunder	44c	102$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.12	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Thunder	49c	100.69$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.13	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Nuggets	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Nuggets	54c	78.83$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.57	398	64.3%256 W · 142 L	+33.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Nuggets	56c	77.5$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Nuggets	54c	69.44$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Nuggets	57c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9021…bf4ebacked Nuggets	53c	59.63$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Thunder	46c	58.54$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.61	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Thunder	47c	55.95$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.71	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Thunder	47c	55.95$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.71	150	40%60 W · 90 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Nuggets	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	332	49.7%165 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Nuggets	56c	53.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	243	58%141 W · 102 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Nuggets	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	165	55.2%91 W · 74 L	-12.1wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Thunder	50c	51.49$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.75	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d2d…86e1backed Nuggets	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Thunder	43c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Thunder	43c	46.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.68	260	34.6%90 W · 170 L	-20.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Nuggets	56c	46.43$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab15…d4a4backed Nuggets	55c	45.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Nuggets	57c	43.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Nuggets	57c	43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.51	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Nuggets	56c	41.57$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	207	62.3%129 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Nuggets	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Nuggets	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed Nuggets	50c	39.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Thunder	44c	39$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	323	52.6%170 W · 153 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Thunder	45c	38.27$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.15	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Nuggets	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	367	51.5%189 W · 178 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Thunder	46c	36.96$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.96	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Nuggets	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	196	49%96 W · 100 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40fe…50a3backed Nuggets	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Nuggets	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	173	49.1%85 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Nuggets	57c	34.05$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Thunder	47c	33.81$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	251	43%108 W · 143 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Thunder	47c	33$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.36	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da3…9f2cbacked Thunder	47c	31.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Thunder	47c	31.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.77	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Nuggets	56c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb55b…be21backed Nuggets	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.15per pick	61cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7337…0cd1backed Thunder	48c	28.44$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.92	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xca1e…53e3backed Nuggets	57c	28.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	57cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 10.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Thunder vs. NuggetsThunder won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event