NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b09d38d04a2473d0dcb438d3a40a5ffc1f59e54d70f58dfe383ed75da6b24bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 100,343$48,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,164.73 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Thunder | 52c | 99,977$51,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,988.75 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 47c | 31,413$14,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,781.01 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 51c | 31,332$16,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,226.46 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Thunder | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Nuggets | 49c | 23,470$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Nuggets | 49c | 20,100$9,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,748.5 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Thunder | 53c | 19,870$10,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,338.99 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Thunder | 52c | 17,322$9,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,314.59 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 47c | 10,750$5,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Nuggets | 47c | 10,500$4,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Nuggets | 47c | 7,354$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.15 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Thunder | 53c | 5,650$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.5 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Thunder | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 4,584$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Thunder | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Thunder | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,830$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.25 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,217$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Thunder | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Thunder | 54c | 2,154$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.83 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 53c | 2,150$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.14 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,972$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,744$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…da42backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,600$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,492$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.08 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Thunder | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…9ef0backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,162$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,022$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.33 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 53c | 980.4$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.79 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 864.18$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.81 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nuggets | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 47c | 678.05$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Nuggets | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Nuggets | 45c | 495.32$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.9 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Nuggets | 48c | 468.75$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Nuggets | 45c | 418$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 418$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Thunder | 55c | 363.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 351$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 53c | 351$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Nuggets | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Nuggets | 46c | 330.72$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.13 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Nuggets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 257.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Thunder | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Nuggets | 46c | 219.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Nuggets | 46c | 219.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Thunder | 51c | 218.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nuggets | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Thunder | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nuggets | 45c | 167.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Thunder | 54c | 126.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 53c | 121.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Thunder | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 102.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Nuggets | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Nuggets | 46c | 95.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Thunder | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…7b2fbacked Thunder | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…d75bbacked Thunder | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Nuggets | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Nuggets | 48c | 82.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Nuggets | 49c | 80.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Nuggets | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Thunder | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Thunder | 58c | 77.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Thunder | 52c | 72.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 42c | 67.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Nuggets | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Nuggets | 46c | 64.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Nuggets | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Thunder | 53c | 53.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…fe42backed Nuggets | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Nuggets | 46c | 52.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…f0a5backed Thunder | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Thunder | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Thunder | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Thunder | 51c | 46.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…6102backed Thunder | 55c | 44.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Thunder | 51c | 39.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…056abacked Thunder | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…2f96backed Thunder | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…0e69backed Nuggets | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Thunder | 53c | 33.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Nuggets | 47c | 33.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Nuggets | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Nuggets | 46c | 32.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Nuggets | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6d…5fb2backed Thunder | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…3eb0backed Thunder | 52c | 30.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…4430backed Thunder | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Thunder | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…eb1cbacked Thunder | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. NuggetsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.