TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6721…d75b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Commodities, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT4141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$230.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.45
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$214.41
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$56.51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$551
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$256.67
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56%+$50.25
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$19.61
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.99
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.28
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.15
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$135.5
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$170.6
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+71%+$57.43
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.7
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.15
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+290.6%+$148.8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.49
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$32.63
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.6
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
NBA Playoffs: Suns vs. Thunder Total Games O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.5
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+489.4%+$249.09
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.75
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$126.53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+923.1%+$553.86
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.74
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.7
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Benin win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+68.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Open: Zizou Bergs vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Ostrava Open: Alycia Parks vs Julia Grabherbacked Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+337.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+337.2%+$168.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$35.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$817.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$609.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.