NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35bc448835668de4119613dd2f06ff6db94548d656783eb0a779b732f268f019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,304,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,197,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,304,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,707 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Cavaliers | 63c | 422,555$266,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266,209.51 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 37c | 321,443$118,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202,509.26 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Raptors | 37c | 300,000$111,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,999.74 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 19c | 128,287$24,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,701.88 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Raptors | 70c | 125,085$88,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,085.27 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 31c | 121,673$38,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,624.16 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raptors | 37c | 97,314$36,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,231.04 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Cavaliers | 25c | 80,663$20,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,467.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Cavaliers | 39c | 64,247$25,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,355.59 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Raptors | 36c | 62,493$22,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,995.6 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Cavaliers | 61c | 54,261$33,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,036.47 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 41c | 52,156$21,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,475.13 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Raptors | 40c | 50,137$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,137.12 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raptors | 71c | 49,390$34,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,410.06 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef7…b7bbbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 44,186$27,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,837 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Raptors | 37c | 40,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors | 37c | 37,784$14,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,666.8 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 67c | 36,606$24,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,166.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…6ca6backed Cavaliers | 62c | 35,276$22,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,024.05 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 63c | 35,001$21,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,996.93 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 35,000$21,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,700 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers | 46c | 34,533$15,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,765.06 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Raptors | 42c | 27,537$11,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,087.31 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 19c | 25,146$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.01 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Raptors | 37c | 24,115$9,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,107.21 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Cavaliers | 43c | 22,916$9,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,853.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 60c | 21,626$12,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,975.69 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 63c | 21,440$13,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,422.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 65c | 21,088$13,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,353.25 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 37c | 20,858$7,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,773.99 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Raptors | 38c | 20,805$7,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900.24 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Raptors | 70c | 20,755$14,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,149.72 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Raptors | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Raptors | 78c | 19,324$15,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Raptors | 58c | 19,149$11,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,095.57 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Cavaliers | 25c | 18,676$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers | 30c | 18,437$5,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,568.58 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors | 37c | 17,598$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,166.29 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…a907backed Cavaliers | 48c | 15,696$7,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,606.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Cavaliers | 62c | 15,555$9,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,644.1 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Raptors | 52c | 15,522$8,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,463.15 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Cavaliers | 61c | 15,204$9,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,274.6 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Cavaliers | 56c | 15,096$8,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,527.96 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 63c | 14,583$9,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.84 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Raptors | 40c | 14,386$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,606.24 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cavaliers | 28c | 14,089$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.25 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors | 80c | 13,800$10,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.86 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Raptors | 58c | 13,600$7,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,763.99 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors | 37c | 13,514$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,513.51 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Raptors | 37c | 13,514$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,513.51 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors | 38c | 13,366$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,346.45 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Cavaliers | 23c | 13,307$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.7 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 12,556$4,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875.14 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Cavaliers | 65c | 12,542$8,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,134.89 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 12,000$7,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,680 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Cavaliers | 33c | 11,853$3,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950.98 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 11,578$7,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,440.7 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Cavaliers | 31c | 10,623$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.73 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Cavaliers | 21c | 10,545$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.87 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Raptors | 63c | 10,183$6,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.62 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cavaliers | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…78b8backed Cavaliers | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Cavaliers | 64c | 9,333$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Raptors | 71c | 9,129$6,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.14 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers | 62c | 9,097$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640.14 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…1f41backed Cavaliers | 61c | 9,056$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Raptors | 36c | 8,910$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Cavaliers | 63c | 8,872$5,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,589.48 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Cavaliers | 64c | 8,832$5,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,652.36 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Cavaliers | 48c | 8,651$4,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.23 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 8,333$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.22 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Cavaliers | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 38c | 7,740$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.69 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Cavaliers | 29c | 7,564$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 72c | 7,208$5,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.17 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cavaliers | 60c | 7,161$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.99 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Cavaliers | 54c | 7,155$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.98 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Raptors | 61c | 6,961$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.91 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 44c | 6,910$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Cavaliers | 58c | 6,835$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.2 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Cavaliers | 29c | 6,690$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…99bdbacked Raptors | 38c | 6,600$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Cavaliers | 28c | 6,376$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.38 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cavaliers | 49c | 6,310$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Raptors | 37c | 6,246$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.95 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…fafabacked Cavaliers | 46c | 6,205$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.21 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Cavaliers | 63c | 6,045$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Raptors | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Raptors | 29c | 6,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Raptors | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.29 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Raptors | 36c | 5,555$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.2 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Cavaliers | 27c | 5,302$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Raptors | 37c | 5,259$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.02 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Cavaliers | 17c | 5,215$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.51 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…cdd5backed Raptors | 38c | 5,100$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…92b4backed Cavaliers | 62c | 5,100$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors | 71c | 5,003$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Raptorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.