TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over51c27,397$13,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,440.7815545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09a…a371backed Under49c12,427$6,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0891457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.994151.2%21 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Over52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.316357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over34c5,587$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under49c5,504$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.9614441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over51c3,677$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.6369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked Under49c1,992$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.081643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under49c1,940$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.630446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over52c1,917$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.194264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c1,640$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8201,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x820c…cb55backed Over52c1,169$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.231471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c1,058$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.181,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Over70c1,030$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.86457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under30c978.77$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.392,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under48c880.78$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.7757950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under49c820$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over30c673.92$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.7414845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0821957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c643.73$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.432,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over30c583$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.145251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under48c538.99$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7119745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c505.57$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24519547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under29c466.2$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.043,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over64c402.66$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.451,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.364957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3319166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over62c322.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.632,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14711157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14112536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.465257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over38c276.11$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2621640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c206.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4559…1c26backed Over51c204$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.961735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over53c173$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3124955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over31c160.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3144347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c149.7$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.351,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over25c132.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c129.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under10c117.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2918835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x82f2…27d4backed Over52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.773080%24 W · 6 L+8.9wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over53c103.55$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.672,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4832957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4925651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under41c98.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4520247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Over51c98.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.278246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over51c95.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c93.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.091,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over64c91.84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under48c88.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1766143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c82.95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c82.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.781,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3c…bec3backed Under26c76.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204245.2%19 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under38c69.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over65c67.95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.814264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Over59c60.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over41c60.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9262047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.696651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Over62c55.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.116653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.652,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Over51c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.488651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Under49c50.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.674247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.516951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2427945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under29c48.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939e…133cbacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.175100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under48c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5643148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde6b…7178backed Over52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Over31c42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.986524.6%16 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0962049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed Over77c39.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993372.7%24 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick71cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Over30c38.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.954858.3%28 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4611060%66 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Over52c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2821056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over43c35.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.941,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over53c32.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4417660.8%107 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked Over64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Under47c28.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.621346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Over80c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.287149.3%35 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Over74c24.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.325251.9%27 W · 25 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0620055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Over52c20.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7310847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Over69c19.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.932751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.