NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7236f4cd4831a8a3a616fcf221eecec1ad0480c87c1323612c1457bf6c992542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 88,675$42,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,701.57 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Over | 49c | 83,633$40,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,637.87 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 51c | 83,498$42,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,583.78 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 19,937$10,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,251.23 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 47c | 15,092$7,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,998.52 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 13,261$6,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.9 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 53c | 12,238$6,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,454.01 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 9,919$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.73 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 51c | 6,471$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 5,904$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.48 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 51c | 4,201$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.35 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 74c | 4,024$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.66 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 3,797$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 51c | 3,702$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.04 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 39c | 3,690$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.01 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 49c | 3,671$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.23 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Over | 76c | 3,034$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 2,714$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.7 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,536$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 2,451$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 51c | 2,372$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.95 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 57c | 2,347$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.85 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 2,132$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 1,956$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.89 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7083…1937backed Over | 74c | 1,496$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 50c | 1,484$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.18 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 1,374$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.9 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…ed60backed Under | 52c | 1,086$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…a73fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…85fbbacked Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 34c | 882.22$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.26 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 48c | 867.56$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.3 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 49c | 866.74$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.04 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Over | 47c | 823$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.19 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 50c | 820$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 772$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.84 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 679$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.29 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 57c | 596$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.28 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…eceabacked Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Over | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 59c | 508.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.64 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 30c | 484.15$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Over | 47c | 456.4$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 453.79$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Under | 50c | 436.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 52c | 429.56$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.37 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 41c | 390.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 53c | 374.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.42 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 50c | 342.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 77c | 335.65$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 74c | 333.57$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.92 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Under | 53c | 330$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 56c | 311.35$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 25c | 305.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 304$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 301.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 67c | 299.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 51c | 285.85$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 60c | 272.36$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.94 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 75c | 257.31$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…043fbacked Over | 80c | 226.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 64c | 222.69$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Under | 37c | 221.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Over | 49c | 206.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 193$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Under | 10c | 187.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 21c | 173$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 64c | 147.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 61c | 142.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 56c | 131.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.