NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61513a05b846cf0de90bbc5228e8aa204667ddf99c0c47e85ed6fc691fbeaee9

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $90,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $88,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,123 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors	48c	15,240$7,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,924.91	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers	54c	15,188$8,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,177.04	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	17c	8,763$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.95	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Cavaliers	52c	7,743$4,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,026.33	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Raptors	45c	4,659$2,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,566.7	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors	48c	3,695$1,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,930.51	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Cavaliers	53c	3,364$1,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,782.97	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Raptors	49c	3,241$1,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650.17	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Raptors	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Raptors	45c	2,745$1,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,509.73	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers	47c	2,567$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.64	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors	44c	2,018$893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,125.15	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Raptors	44c	2,000$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	54c	1,686$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.38	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Cavaliers	55c	1,623$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.48	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Cavaliers	20c	1,591$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.13	148	45.3%67 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Raptors	49c	1,378$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.13	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Raptors	45c	1,348$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.91	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Cavaliers	55c	1,273$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Raptors	45c	1,119$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.4	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Cavaliers	54c	1,067$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.09	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Cavaliers	63c	1,057$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde1d…c645backed Cavaliers	56c	937.5$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers	43c	933.6$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.01	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Raptors	73c	886.12$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.01	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4240…7a20backed Cavaliers	51c	874.99$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.25	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Cavaliers	53c	851.85$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.48	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Cavaliers	11c	748$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.28	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Raptors	60c	667.37$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.37	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Cavaliers	56c	642.85$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Raptors	50c	611.18$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.59	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Raptors	44c	585.91$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.11	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Cavaliers	56c	535.71$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Cavaliers	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Raptors	50c	410.75$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.23	528	61.9%327 W · 201 L	+32.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Raptors	43c	400$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Raptors	47c	387.99$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.63	69	58%40 W · 29 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Cavaliers	51c	375.17$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.34	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	-12.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Raptors	46c	350$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Raptors	50c	345.84$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.37	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Raptors	51c	344.95$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.59	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Raptors	63c	284.15$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.16	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+21.5wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+32%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Raptors	45c	275$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.25	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Cavaliers	26c	250.38$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.58	335	56.7%190 W · 145 L	+26.4wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Cavaliers	56c	250$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cavaliers	19c	245.93$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.63	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked Cavaliers	53c	241.47$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.98	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Raptors	67c	228.36$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.13	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Cavaliers	53c	226.42$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Raptors	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Cavaliers	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d95…2342backed Raptors	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	72	50%36 W · 36 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Raptors	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d36…f4cbbacked Raptors	48c	204.08$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.12	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Raptors	79c	203.8$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.8	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Cavaliers	54c	195.92$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.11	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x428d…8cb6backed Cavaliers	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Cavaliers	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Cavaliers	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Cavaliers	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	-12.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Raptors	43c	170$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.1	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Cavaliers	21c	166.37$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.63	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Cavaliers	53c	164.26$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.06	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Cavaliers	19c	163.35$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.3	216	40.3%87 W · 129 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Cavaliers	48c	157.33$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.61	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Raptors	44c	151.24$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.69	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9f…ab5abacked Cavaliers	53c	150.96$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.01	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Raptors	48c	150$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Raptors	49c	141.7$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.27	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Cavaliers	33c	141.09$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.96	272	45.6%124 W · 148 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Cavaliers	54c	135.95$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.8	274	50%137 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Cavaliers	15c	133$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	164	29.9%49 W · 115 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Raptors	44c	125.21$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.12	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Cavaliers	24c	123.35$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	443	47.2%209 W · 234 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Cavaliers	45c	123.24$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Cavaliers	26c	120.53$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.46	130	42.3%55 W · 75 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Cavaliers	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	263	45.6%120 W · 143 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Cavaliers	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d9…c160backed Raptors	46c	97.82$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.82	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb24…b384backed Cavaliers	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15fb…e26abacked Cavaliers	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Cavaliers	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Cavaliers	59c	84.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	165	55.8%92 W · 73 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Cavaliers	52c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	319	55.2%176 W · 143 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors	47c	76.58$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.62	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Raptors	50c	75.61$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.58	592	55.4%328 W · 264 L	+23.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Raptors	45c	75$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers	41c	73.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.42	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd82d…7882backed Cavaliers	33c	71.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.64	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-47%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Raptors	50c	71$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.5	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Cavaliers	55c	70.91$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers	33c	66.09$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.58	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Cavaliers	56c	64.47$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.21	200	55.5%111 W · 89 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Raptors	48c	63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.76	447	47%210 W · 237 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Raptors	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfab…5ce0backed Raptors	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b25…e9a6backed Raptors	76c	59.21$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.21	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe89e…5d8fbacked Cavaliers	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	75	37.3%28 W · 47 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Cavaliers	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	679	49.8%338 W · 341 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 5.5No won
Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
Cavaliers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event