NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x750058b5183b380ffbf5d70709acf33741bb4e0d4b72543b3e0db37f3c38e370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3625…1187backed Under | 53c | 9,478$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 56c | 6,304$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 53c | 4,703$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.45 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e3…23c6backed Over | 47c | 4,574$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +482.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 45c | 3,569$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 54c | 3,512$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.32 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 46c | 3,391$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.94 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 49c | 2,201$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.62 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 1,726$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 54c | 1,473$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,425$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.97 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 1,409$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.89 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 1,371$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.34 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…d1b9backed Over | 47c | 1,362$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.68 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 47cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 38c | 1,334$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.92 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 1,312$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.5 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 52c | 1,303$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.07 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 1,286$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 47c | 1,162$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 45c | 1,152$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.63 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 45c | 1,149$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.01 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 1,132$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.6 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 46c | 1,132$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.2 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 54c | 814.81$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 16c | 799.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 723.07$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.91 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 27c | 689.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Over | 74c | 657$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 540.66$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.11 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 47c | 534$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.42 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 521$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.55 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 47c | 510.2$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.79 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 47c | 489.68$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.15 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 55c | 460.95$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 45c | 446.45$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 47c | 408.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 47c | 391.74$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.12 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…7e0dbacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 52c | 346.31$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.62 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 69c | 331.53$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 32c | 287.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 287$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 53c | 282.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.27 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 264.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 47c | 209.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Over | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…f9f4backed Under | 53c | 191.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 48c | 182.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Under | 31c | 178.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 8c | 176.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 156.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…ea68backed Under | 45c | 150.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…fe54backed Under | 21c | 145.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…a4e5backed Under | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 55c | 130.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Under | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 256 | 66.8%171 W · 85 L | +16.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 40c | 125.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 122.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 77c | 120.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 48c | 117.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 44c | 112.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…c0d1backed Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 54c | 105.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Under | 51c | 104.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 36c | 96.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 49c | 93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 410 | 38%156 W · 254 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 29c | 92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Over | 69c | 76.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Over | 71c | 73.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 47c | 72.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 51c | 68.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 47c | 68.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 52c | 67.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Over | 46c | 64.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…9102backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ca…790cbacked Over | 45c | 62.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Under | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…bf9fbacked Under | 31c | 52.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked Under | 48c | 51.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.