TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3625…1187backed Under53c9,478$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c6,304$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50014556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over53c4,703$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.4532846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e3…23c6backed Over47c4,574$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+482.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c3,569$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under54c3,512$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.3217055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over46c3,391$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.9465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over49c2,201$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.6217052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over76c1,726$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under54c1,473$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c1,425$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.971,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c1,409$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.891,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under47c1,371$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6969…d1b9backed Over47c1,362$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.68887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick47cpaid+82.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under38c1,334$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.9252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over46c1,312$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over52c1,303$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.0761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c1,286$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Over47c1,162$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over45c1,152$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.6317250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over45c1,149$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.0129245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over48c1,132$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.644740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over46c1,132$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.216743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Under54c814.81$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Under16c799.97$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over47c723.07$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.9169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under27c689.47$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Over74c657$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.983855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3249652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Under54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c540.66$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.112,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over47c534$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.427751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over45c521$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.551,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under47c510.2$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9911437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under47c489.68$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under55c460.95$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.516555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over45c446.45$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.781,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under47c408.16$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8446959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under47c391.74$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1218557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3721…7e0dbacked Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over52c346.31$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over69c331.53$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under32c287.56$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.371,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c287$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.91,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over53c282.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c264.12$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.911,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over47c209.83$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8385449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Over48c202.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.085253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under53c191.19$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.228043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over48c182.03$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0310552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Under31c178.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.213036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over8c176.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7220353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c156.83$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.262,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Under45c150.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.84037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8778…fe54backed Under21c145.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9134…a4e5backed Under56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+85.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under55c130.84$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5721056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Under54c129.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025666.8%171 W · 85 L+16.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under40c125.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.533,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over47c122.82$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over77c120.17$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.641,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under48c117.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4322143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under47c114$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.581,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under44c112.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over46c110.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8747738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed Over45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.57243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e12…c0d1backed Under49c110$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under54c105.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Under51c104.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.06714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-77%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5425657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under36c96.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over49c93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4341038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under29c92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.366524.6%16 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.237253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over69c76.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5920055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Over71c73.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.615259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Under47c72.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7111946.2%55 W · 64 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over46c69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.221,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under51c68.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under47c68.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over52c67.76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3216867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Over46c64.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.914247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed5a…9102backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.836858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7644747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under54c62.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ca…790cbacked Over45c62.39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.840440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under34c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7216429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under48c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4734247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19b…bf9fbacked Under31c52.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.33661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x310b…19ccbacked Under48c51.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510045%45 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.