NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8f24fed0875685bfa9d1890140b4ff1fd1965010d0907b863df86090704de2

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $896,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $911,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $896,764 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Cavaliers	51c	362,916$184,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184,873.24	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Raptors	49c	322,222$157,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164,333.22	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	51c	162,735$83,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83,076.76	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Raptors	49c	141,567$69,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,199.38	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Cavaliers	52c	100,000$52,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,999.91	113	33.6%38 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors	48c	69,782$33,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,286.88	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Raptors	50c	65,394$32,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,600.69	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Raptors	49c	44,400$21,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,643.84	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Raptors	49c	30,493$14,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,551.49	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Raptors	54c	21,608$11,706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,901.46	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Raptors	48c	20,011$9,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,411.63	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Cavaliers	52c	19,406$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Cavaliers	51c	18,860$9,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,556.59	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Cavaliers	48c	17,881$8,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,582.79	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09a…a371backed Cavaliers	49c	17,100$8,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,379	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors	50c	16,052$7,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,084.97	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Raptors	50c	10,500$5,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,250	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Raptors	50c	10,262$5,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,168.83	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers	49c	9,655$4,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,752.14	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Raptors	48c	9,553$4,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,967.42	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	42c	9,028$3,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,756.52	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers	53c	8,400$4,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,452	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	51c	6,602$3,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,376.14	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Raptors	48c	6,078$2,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,160.78	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Raptors	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Cavaliers	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Raptors	50c	6,000$3,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,970	207	44%91 W · 116 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed3…e972backed Cavaliers	49c	5,970$2,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,925.3	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Cavaliers	51c	5,960$3,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,039.59	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	48c	5,441$2,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,623.28	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Cavaliers	52c	5,080$2,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,641.6	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Cavaliers	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Raptors	48c	4,201$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,184.38	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Raptors	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166.67	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Raptors	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166.67	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Cavaliers	51c	4,031$2,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,055.81	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers	51c	3,623$1,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,847.81	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Cavaliers	51c	3,169$1,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,611.31	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Cavaliers	51c	2,578$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.56	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Cavaliers	51c	2,451$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.25	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Raptors	52c	2,273$1,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,090.86	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers	51c	2,222$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.72	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Cavaliers	51c	2,200$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Raptors	50c	2,040$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+5.8wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+27%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Cavaliers	51c	2,012$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Raptors	48c	1,917$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.67	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x820c…cb55backed Raptors	49c	1,708$837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$871.16	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Cavaliers	51c	1,616$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.16	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Cavaliers	51c	1,605$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.79	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Raptors	51c	1,500$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Raptors	51c	1,449$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710.17	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Raptors	49c	1,414$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.29	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers	49c	1,143$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.07	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…01b4backed Cavaliers	51c	1,137$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cavaliers	51c	1,111$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.61	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Cavaliers	50c	1,100$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Raptors	48c	1,100$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Raptors	50c	1,048$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.96	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Cavaliers	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8c…85fbbacked Raptors	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.41	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Raptors	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.41	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Cavaliers	50c	1,001$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.5	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Raptors	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Cavaliers	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Cavaliers	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Cavaliers	52c	1,000$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Cavaliers	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-7.3wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers	49c	973$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.77	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Raptors	46c	952.16$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.17	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Cavaliers	49c	951$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.2	148	45.3%67 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Cavaliers	49c	918.37$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers	50c	898.44$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.07	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers	48c	800$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Cavaliers	51c	800$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	165	50.9%84 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Raptors	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Cavaliers	59c	770.51$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457	41	73.2%30 W · 11 L	+7.3wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Cavaliers	51c	746.54$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.73	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Cavaliers	30c	740.38$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.91	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+21.5wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+32%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Cavaliers	59c	642.37$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Raptors	49c	610$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.1	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Cavaliers	50c	605$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.86	274	50%137 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Cavaliers	54c	565$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.74	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+6.4wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Cavaliers	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bfe…9408backed Cavaliers	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-6.8wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Raptors	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Raptors	46c	476.08$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.08	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4460…54d1backed Raptors	45c	476.08$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	34cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Raptors	48c	476$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.52	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Cavaliers	51c	444.47$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.68	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Raptors	49c	420$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.03	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Cavaliers	51c	410$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.21	348	50.9%177 W · 171 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers	43c	408.55$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.41	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers	51c	407.36$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.76	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Raptors	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Raptors	51c	399.9$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.95	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Cavaliers	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+5.7wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+51%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Cavaliers	52c	346.15$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-8.3wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Cavaliers	47c	321.28$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	156	51.9%81 W · 75 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 5.5No won
Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
Cavaliers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event