Movies · resolved market
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe29494b99ca89d6f65017a30bd5507af551533f30c2715205c37fd1be7d3dee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa69d…2d3bbacked No | 0c | 13,952$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…3808backed Yes | 78c | 4,501$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…a3f6backed No | 1c | 3,885$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…fc5fbacked No | 1c | 3,347$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dc…06cfbacked No | 1c | 2,896$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…4d52backed No | 40c | 2,528$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed No | 14c | 2,127$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…6a8ebacked No | 12c | 1,836$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 5c | 1,551$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 1,529$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…7744backed No | 24c | 1,239$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846a…35afbacked No | 18c | 1,023$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 993.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 266 | 6.4%17 W · 249 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…1346backed Yes | 70c | 921.62$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 22c | 878.96$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked Yes | 15c | 868$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…f6f3backed Yes | 67c | 839.19$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…973ebacked No | 16c | 808.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…5ff7backed No | 13c | 672.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…bc09backed No | 14c | 671.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacc…2da5backed No | 17c | 630.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…89f0backed No | 17c | 602.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 56c | 580.37$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.83 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 16c | 557.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…aafbbacked Yes | 64c | 527.23$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 37c | 504.26$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.06 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…7ebfbacked No | 30c | 437.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…b48abacked No | 4c | 420.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…80a9backed No | 4c | 415.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f14…5f73backed No | 16c | 380.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 27c | 379.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18f…37a9backed No | 18c | 376.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 44c | 361.56$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 66c | 334.77$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.26 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…efc7backed No | 30c | 331.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…22d8backed No | 16c | 313.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…d75bbacked No | 26c | 290$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…77cbbacked No | 5c | 282.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 15c | 246.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…c01fbacked No | 12c | 245.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…2e87backed No | 34c | 231.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…d93bbacked No | 45c | 207.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0af…d34fbacked No | 17c | 207.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39bc…f994backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 61c | 199.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 70c | 197.36$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 52c | 196.86$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 54c | 185.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…5befbacked No | 18c | 185.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452a…c68fbacked No | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 11c | 175.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 11c | 170.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 33c | 161.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d6…40d0backed No | 11c | 157$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…2553backed No | 26c | 155.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 14c | 154$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…b0c0backed No | 28c | 144.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 66c | 136.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…8243backed No | 13c | 133.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…2a2ebacked Yes | 62c | 125.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…f903backed No | 17c | 121.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 45c | 119.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 45c | 117.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…f003backed No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed No | 26c | 116.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 38c | 113.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 26cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad47…1d5abacked No | 18c | 113$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 39c | 110.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 70c | 106.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 20c | 106.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…7764backed No | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 104.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…a974backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 56c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…4c9cbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…0a64backed Yes | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52e…0a1cbacked No | 21c | 94.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed No | 29c | 92.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e9…3886backed No | 12c | 91.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed No | 48c | 91.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…83a4backed No | 47c | 88.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…550abacked Yes | 65c | 88.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked No | 16c | 87.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 87.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…8357backed No | 34c | 83.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb6…6373backed No | 33c | 81.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…e0cbbacked No | 22c | 81.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 68c | 80.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked No | 22c | 66.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe264…60a4backed Yes | 46c | 65.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 46c | 63.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f8…42a2backed No | 43c | 55.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f7…7bd9backed No | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?this page
- Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?No won
- Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.