TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcae4…ccec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 60 out of 100; worst Music at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.46
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$229.2
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$448
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$283.29
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.6
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$33
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$411.8
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$273.9
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$422.4
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+74.1%+$166.45
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$108.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+80.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$236.75
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$107.25
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$57.19
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$296.46
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.9
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+400%+$723.2
Will "Megapixel" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$278.07
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$258.39
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+143.9%+$469.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+114.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$455.4
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+275.9%+$339.11
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.57
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$68.12
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$231.26
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$111.36
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+334.8%+$242.55
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.7%+$140.51
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+98.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$737.8
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$206.4
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.4
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Spike Jonze win Best Director of Commercials at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$132.12
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$169.74
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$101.01
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$195.48
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$38.61
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$187.74
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$50.16
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$57.35
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.76
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.35
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.92
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$92.25
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Blackburn Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.15
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)backed Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$326.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.16
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$81.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.55
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)backed Ipswich Town FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$665.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+232.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+232.2%+$252.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$460.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$176.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Levy win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$71.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$427.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$411.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.