Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0a87e98e3c71fc0deb27080da06f2c117a4d647f0690757e3c7e77d9b432e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,701 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 45c | 1,527$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.32 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 52c | 1,391$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes | 36c | 1,356$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed No | 53c | 1,293$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 1,287$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.77 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 44c | 1,200$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed No | 63c | 1,149$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,055$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 37c | 1,021$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed No | 64c | 1,008$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +258.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes | 37c | 988$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 47c | 985$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…cb56backed No | 53c | 977$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes | 37c | 970$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked No | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed No | 52c | 912$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 37c | 896$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 48c | 883$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0d52backed Yes | 48c | 880$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked No | 63c | 859$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…3037backed No | 52c | 811$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 63c | 792$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +242.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 58c | 787.82$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b18ebacked Yes | 48c | 784$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed Yes | 48c | 761$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed No | 52c | 746$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…f582backed Yes | 48c | 746$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked Yes | 48c | 736$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed Yes | 48c | 703$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 54c | 702.82$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.72 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…3764backed No | 63c | 688$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 60c | 671.12$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 661.75$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.21 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 52c | 661$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes | 37c | 649$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 61c | 622.94$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 62c | 613$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed Yes | 48c | 601$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked Yes | 48c | 586$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 63c | 578$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Yes | 38c | 541$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…9669backed Yes | 48c | 541$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…0c57backed Yes | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 52c | 479$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Yes | 62c | 475.19$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 40c | 455.51$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked No | 52c | 454$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed No | 52c | 452$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…6baabacked No | 63c | 445$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked No | 62c | 438$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed Yes | 48c | 426$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed No | 63c | 416$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked Yes | 48c | 398$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed No | 52c | 398$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…c22abacked Yes | 48c | 390$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed No | 63c | 384$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed Yes | 37c | 384$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 64c | 349$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed No | 52c | 345$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 37c | 342$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 59c | 339.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 40c | 325.69$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.41 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…cd52backed No | 53c | 318$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…50e1backed No | 62c | 315$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 48c | 308$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed No | 42c | 302.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed Yes | 37c | 275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 264.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked No | 63c | 263$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 48c | 262$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked No | 52c | 257$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed No | 52c | 255$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Yes | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…3c30backed Yes | 48c | 236$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 42c | 235.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 48c | 221$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes | 37c | 210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked No | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 52c | 208$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612d…3fd1backed No | 63c | 208$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed No | 52c | 202$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 48c | 197$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 62c | 197$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 38c | 193$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 48c | 187$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked No | 52c | 184$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 53c | 182.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 45c | 175$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked No | 52c | 172$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 62c | 161$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 48c | 159$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 52c | 152$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked No | 49c | 146.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…8832backed Yes | 36c | 136.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.