Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49f2b90e166c1e635a28661c3460491ce6a63c9bcdffd044c886d2bdca736f9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 4,859$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.53 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 6c | 3,176$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.86 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Under | 66c | 1,800$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…cf5ebacked Under | 69c | 1,648$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…4674backed Over | 35c | 1,479$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…5ad5backed Under | 60c | 1,305$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Over | 34c | 1,182$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked Over | 34c | 1,179$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Over | 34c | 1,161$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Under | 66c | 1,114$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 1,072$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.42 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed Under | 66c | 974$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked Over | 40c | 967$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Over | 34c | 964$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked Under | 67c | 935$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked Under | 66c | 922$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Over | 33c | 917$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Over | 34c | 907$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e0…ad86backed Under | 66c | 903$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Over | 34c | 901$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Over | 33c | 857$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked Under | 67c | 840$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 68c | 816$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.12 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed Over | 33c | 815$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…019dbacked Over | 35c | 812$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed Over | 34c | 774$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed Over | 34c | 763$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…9184backed Under | 66c | 752$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed Under | 66c | 743$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Over | 47c | 740$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…15bdbacked Over | 33c | 737$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Under | 67c | 737$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c04backed Over | 33c | 717$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Over | 33c | 671$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked Under | 66c | 665$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed Under | 66c | 655$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Under | 66c | 632$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…dae1backed Under | 66c | 605$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 599.62$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.24 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Under | 56c | 588$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb890…a592backed Under | 66c | 563$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Over | 34c | 559$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Under | 66c | 555$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…fb46backed Under | 67c | 551$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked Over | 33c | 537$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Under | 67c | 537$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Over | 34c | 529$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…1690backed Over | 34c | 522$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Under | 67c | 521$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed Over | 45c | 511$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked Under | 66c | 509$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Over | 34c | 504$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed Under | 66c | 504$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +238.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…2261backed Under | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Over | 34c | 495$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed Under | 65c | 477$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Over | 34c | 477$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Over | 34c | 456$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 22c | 455.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed Under | 56c | 452$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked Over | 34c | 440$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…ed0cbacked Under | 66c | 436$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked Over | 34c | 434$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 35c | 431.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Under | 55c | 421$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed Under | 66c | 416$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Over | 48c | 409$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Over | 33c | 407$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Under | 53c | 395$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Under | 55c | 388$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Under | 66c | 387$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed Under | 65c | 373$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Over | 34c | 373$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Under | 66c | 369$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Over | 34c | 367$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked Under | 66c | 363$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Under | 67c | 361$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Under | 67c | 359$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…d2e9backed Over | 34c | 345$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed Under | 66c | 345$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Under | 66c | 337$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Over | 34c | 337$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Over | 44c | 330$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Over | 40c | 327$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed Under | 52c | 322$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Under | 66c | 312$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed Over | 34c | 312$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Under | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Over | 33c | 292$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 35c | 289.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked Under | 66c | 285$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 31c | 283.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed Under | 66c | 283$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Over | 45c | 280$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed Over | 33c | 272$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5this page
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.