TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9e5…d252

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category AI at 59 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$321
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.94
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$37.76
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy win Best Producer of a TV Movie at the 37th PGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.35
Will "Frankenstein" win Best Production Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$236.67
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$48.14
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$74.4
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.23
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.43
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+150%+$37.2
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53.82
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.89
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.05
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$58.56
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$37.17
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$78.34
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.64
Will "The Grinch" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$44
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$151.2
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.65
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$78
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$228.9
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$46
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$115.36
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$80.37
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.23
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$31.08
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$22.26
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$109.71
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+455.6%+$585.48
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.67
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$307.2
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.56
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,445Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$507.78
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$267.9
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$293.44
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$139.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$129.85
Will the US strike Iran next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$17.85
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+704.3%+$1,085.82
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$272.72
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.36
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24.51
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+71.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.82
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.32
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$46.24
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$405.24
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$419.58
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.56
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$61.29
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+334.8%+$102.41
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+244.8%+$80.23
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$129.08
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$25.23
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$63.36
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.39
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$66.5
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$84.27
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$81.9
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$171.11
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$35.1
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.75
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.2%+$38.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.05
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.33
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$60.59
Will Abraham Enriquez be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$65.8
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$95.14
Will Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$93.84
Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+44.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+880.4%+$601.66
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.3
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$20.58
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$257.73
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41.47
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$59.95
Will Ciprian Ciucu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.86
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+122.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.04
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)backed North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$620.15
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)backed Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$261.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+134%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+136.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$164.46
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketballbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$240
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$85.44
Will the Green Bay Packers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$132.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$94.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$191.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$147.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$189.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$254.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul walk out to Paper Planes by M.I.A.?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.