NBA · resolved market
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e8a7e26cbe184f17f84760be8414e002c2d059cdb1777e72bcc5e7a5cca4c50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 13c | 1,263$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7ddcbacked Yes | 16c | 1,166$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,133$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes | 17c | 876$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed Yes | 15c | 836$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 14c | 783$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 13c | 714$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes | 13c | 705$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes | 13c | 669$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 16c | 649$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 17c | 601$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed Yes | 13c | 583$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…53dcbacked Yes | 13c | 566$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 8c | 551$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked Yes | 15c | 541$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed Yes | 17c | 529$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed Yes | 16c | 507$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed Yes | 17c | 488$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf049…29fdbacked Yes | 13c | 485$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…e13abacked Yes | 17c | 479$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked Yes | 15c | 468$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 11c | 373.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 80c | 371$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 27c | 371$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 13c | 355$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 6c | 346.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…9ed1backed Yes | 16c | 339$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…a6aabacked Yes | 15c | 333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed Yes | 15c | 307$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes | 16c | 299$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 13c | 295$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed Yes | 15c | 286$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 15c | 285$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed No | 73c | 284$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed Yes | 17c | 280$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…6411backed Yes | 17c | 274$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed Yes | 16c | 271$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed Yes | 16c | 267$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked Yes | 7c | 262.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed Yes | 20c | 247$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 14c | 242$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 14c | 223$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed Yes | 13c | 221$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 16c | 220$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 19c | 218.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 13c | 204$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 13c | 202$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…7e95backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…95c6backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 10c | 199.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 13c | 193$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…990dbacked Yes | 16c | 185$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 16c | 184$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 15c | 173$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes | 21c | 172$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 72c | 171$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed Yes | 28c | 170$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…4578backed Yes | 17c | 169$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 60c | 166.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed Yes | 16c | 166$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 16c | 161$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 13c | 159$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 154.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked Yes | 16c | 153$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 28c | 152$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8c30backed Yes | 13c | 152$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked No | 72c | 151$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 16c | 146$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 21c | 144.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 15c | 141$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…ac3dbacked Yes | 20c | 135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 16c | 131$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…901abacked Yes | 15c | 128$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 122.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes | 13c | 121$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 16c | 117$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…98babacked Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…88adbacked No | 73c | 104$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes | 27c | 104$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 98.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed Yes | 15c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 15c | 86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 80c | 85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…4018backed Yes | 16c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed Yes | 13c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…90ffbacked Yes | 15c | 80.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…7602backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd94…d721backed Yes | 16c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed No | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 27c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed Yes | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?this page
- Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?No won
- Will Ja Morant be traded this season?No won
- Will James Harden be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?No won
- Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges be traded this season?No won
- Will Trae Young be traded this season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.