TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdeac…95c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35.7
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.9
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.6
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.2
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.41
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.25
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$20.02
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.78
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$53
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+224.2%+$611.36
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$28.5
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$75.92
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.22
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57.34
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$46.2
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.24
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.16
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.56
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$136.7
Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+156.4%+$183
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.6
Will Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (Jay Kelly) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.06
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$53.59
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.4
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.84
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$73.25
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.23
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.64
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$38.26
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$16.74
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.14
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$20.1
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.66
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.4
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.18
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$81.18
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$310.81
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$317.03
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+115.1%+$111.29
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.06
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$89.76
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40.29
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$229.36
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$76.88
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+54%+$35.75
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$22.56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$124.82
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+132.6%+$56.43
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.39
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+83.2%+$23.62
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$52.43
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$67.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$56.77
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$165.62
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$82.06
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.14
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.72
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.77
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$55.47
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+525%+$71.4
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$117.2
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100.2%+$129.65
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$445.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$184.95
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$439.8
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$271.5
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$78.66
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+376.2%+$131.93
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.04
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.6
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$135.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$618
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+185.7%+$48.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+185.7%+$87.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$130.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+150%+$67.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$13.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.