NBA · resolved market
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a3227795ce17d9cc5378a9b373d6defd4b25112206531e0c7768f6092002410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,754 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 100,414$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.13 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 7,554$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 4,406$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 47c | 4,272$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.82 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 62c | 2,847$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.48 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 22c | 2,014$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.71 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Yes | 46c | 1,799$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 25c | 1,750$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.62 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed No | 54c | 1,511$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 44c | 1,389$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.9 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 53c | 1,376$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.36 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 48c | 1,244$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.18 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed Yes | 56c | 1,197$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.94 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…2c65backed Yes | 1c | 1,161$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,138$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed No | 48c | 1,137$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.24 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked No | 45c | 1,124$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,075$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 45c | 1,005$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.36 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 46c | 995$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…cb94backed No | 54c | 960$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…0ec6backed No | 54c | 959$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…c3f5backed Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed No | 45c | 873$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.72 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed No | 54c | 869$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 51c | 843$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…838dbacked Yes | 46c | 803$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed Yes | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 46c | 768$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 46c | 755.93$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.15 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 47c | 707$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.18 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…79d6backed Yes | 37c | 698$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…aeb8backed Yes | 51c | 697$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked No | 54c | 677$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 49c | 660$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 48c | 643$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.36 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked No | 54c | 637$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked No | 53c | 634$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed Yes | 52c | 631$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7ddcbacked No | 53c | 608$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed0…0532backed Yes | 46c | 581$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 37c | 570$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 13c | 558.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 37c | 542$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed Yes | 52c | 537$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf049…29fdbacked Yes | 53c | 526$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 43c | 525$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.66 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 518.77$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.29 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed Yes | 46c | 488$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 46c | 483$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed Yes | 46c | 476$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 66c | 474.87$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.94 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…18c6backed Yes | 2c | 474.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 49c | 468$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…9623backed No | 54c | 468$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 63c | 465$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed No | 54c | 461$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed No | 54c | 455$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +158%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed No | 49c | 452$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 51c | 446$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 39c | 446$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.77 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 49c | 445$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked Yes | 52c | 440$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 30c | 435$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed No | 63c | 426$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed No | 63c | 421$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…bc58backed Yes | 3c | 416.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 54c | 416$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes | 68c | 415$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed Yes | 62c | 414.43$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.63 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 52c | 414$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 30c | 411.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 69c | 410$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed No | 63c | 406$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 46c | 393$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 63c | 389$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…2f84backed No | 54c | 384$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 52c | 380$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 49c | 372$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.72 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 46c | 371$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed No | 54c | 369$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 27c | 367.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.34 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 27c | 364$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 48c | 348$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 25c | 343.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 48c | 325$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed No | 29c | 316$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 31c | 312$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed No | 63c | 312$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed No | 46c | 311$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed No | 54c | 306$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 52c | 303$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 48c | 291$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.32 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Yes | 47c | 287$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked No | 49c | 283$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…c84abacked Yes | 51c | 283$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 46c | 278$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.