NBA · resolved market
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bacc34a8e6a55ba0ec728af334b7685e8fda1e9304ec95f0249bb15ea3c941d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,341 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 32c | 3,561$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.61 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3525…b0c1backed Yes | 31c | 1,950$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 68c | 1,764$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.68 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 62c | 1,557$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.42 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 66c | 1,472$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.76 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…73f1backed No | 1c | 1,395$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed Yes | 33c | 1,335$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,236$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 1,200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed No | 47c | 1,125$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…2c65backed No | 1c | 1,038$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,035$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 50c | 1,026$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.3 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 911.69$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.3 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked No | 47c | 906$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.82 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed No | 54c | 841$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.14 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed No | 55c | 811$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 45c | 808$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed No | 55c | 787$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked Yes | 45c | 787$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 2c | 784.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 52c | 783$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 782.79$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.14 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked No | 51c | 753$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed Yes | 53c | 738$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 19c | 717.13$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…62e9backed Yes | 53c | 681$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked No | 47c | 680$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…6411backed No | 67c | 676$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314d…4aa7backed Yes | 51c | 675.42$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 66c | 667.24$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.41 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed No | 49c | 656$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…c3f5backed No | 23c | 642.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked Yes | 45c | 617$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 57c | 609.15$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked No | 55c | 603$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed No | 47c | 583$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed No | 52c | 573$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 47c | 572$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.73 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed No | 47c | 568$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 53c | 551$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.97 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 49c | 541$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.91 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 49c | 521$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 9c | 511.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed No | 47c | 501$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 48c | 495$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 47c | 480$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…2d93backed Yes | 53c | 479$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked No | 47c | 452$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +55%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 45c | 440$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…7406backed No | 55c | 440$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 29c | 434.58$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.58 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Yes | 23c | 431.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.19 | 148 | 30.4%45 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed No | 67c | 429$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2111…667fbacked Yes | 53c | 428$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Yes | 47c | 425.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 35c | 419.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 23c | 401.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…dd71backed Yes | 74c | 400.1$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…bc58backed No | 5c | 393.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed Yes | 53c | 381$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes | 53c | 376$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.72 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…7c05backed Yes | 45c | 374$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 55c | 374$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 46c | 371$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…eadcbacked Yes | 53c | 345$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked Yes | 53c | 323$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 12c | 318.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 48c | 314.75$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.67 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 48c | 306.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 22c | 306$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed Yes | 46c | 291$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes | 20c | 288.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.92 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 49c | 284.3$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 78c | 282$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 33c | 273.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 49c | 272$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed No | 47c | 268$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed No | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…2923backed Yes | 15c | 239$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 45c | 235$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked No | 67c | 230$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed Yes | 13c | 220.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 16c | 217.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 52c | 215$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…af79backed No | 51c | 202$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…d84cbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 45c | 194$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 53c | 185$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked No | 55c | 184$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…8200backed Yes | 13c | 170$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed Yes | 53c | 166$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a97…cf3abacked Yes | 25c | 162.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…282abacked Yes | 11c | 161$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…6232backed No | 76c | 157$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed Yes | 22c | 157$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.