TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7cc2…40d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Weather, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$68.86
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$54.4
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.88
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.35
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.58
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$124.8
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.52
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$55.96
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.1
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35.52
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$86.48
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.65
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+1,134.6%+$180.12
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$34.62
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.48
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.32
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.94
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.98
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$43.7
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.52
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$28.86
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$149
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.08
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$119.9
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$394.2
Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$107.28
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+87.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$311.25
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.28
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$686.12
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$450.75
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$174.4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+150%+$123
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$176.24
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+360.6%+$241.13
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.72
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.16
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$80.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.83
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.77
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.4
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$74.12
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$82.08
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$91.74
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.04
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.42
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$62.32
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$40.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$113.22
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.58
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.83
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+234.8%+$128.35
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$97.29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.19
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$26.52
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.87
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100.8%+$105.9
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+344.4%+$114.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Emilija win Supernova 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$94.86
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+207.7%+$31.72
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+94.8%+$28.23
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34.39
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+99.6%+$52.89
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.48
Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.9%+$148.88
Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.1%+$25.28
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.45
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$153.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+185.7%+$46.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$40.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$163.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$73.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.