NBA · resolved market
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd94da0632b889725bb3cfba14b4146323a1b0676821c52cb7776585006f3cb76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 18c | 9,811$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,073.13 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 43c | 1,374$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.35 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 46c | 989.91$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.95 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Yes | 55c | 888$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 18c | 677.84$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.15 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 17c | 541.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.33 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4387backed Yes | 19c | 532.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +243.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 45c | 499.96$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.48 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked No | 44c | 488.06$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.24 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Yes | 52c | 478.74$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.8 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 8c | 477$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 8c | 414$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.47 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…bf22backed Yes | 26c | 388.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +127%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 369.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.01 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 8c | 367$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 21c | 354.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.51 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes | 15c | 334.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 44c | 333.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed Yes | 21c | 327.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.15 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Yes | 19c | 267.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.59 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…f9a9backed Yes | 8c | 264.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +340.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed Yes | 19c | 261.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.02 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 58c | 259.84$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…32dfbacked Yes | 8c | 255.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.56 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 241.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.76 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 21c | 224.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 5c | 219$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.03 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked No | 46c | 217.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 63c | 207.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 8c | 198.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed Yes | 8c | 196$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…4f71backed Yes | 79c | 190.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…555dbacked Yes | 55c | 180.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Yes | 55c | 180.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Yes | 24c | 145.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…e708backed Yes | 56c | 132.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Yes | 19c | 116.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…029abacked Yes | 13c | 106.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 20c | 102.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…b997backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13e…4c95backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked No | 44c | 91.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 78c | 75.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…fadcbacked Yes | 20c | 72.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2d…c4d9backed Yes | 31c | 63.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +191.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…849ebacked Yes | 55c | 56.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Yes | 27c | 55.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked Yes | 53c | 51.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 66c | 45.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…03f0backed Yes | 56c | 42.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…ccfdbacked Yes | 56c | 35.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…8b5bbacked Yes | 56c | 35.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…6259backed Yes | 56c | 35.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Yes | 56c | 35.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…aadcbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…2e0dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…5f7ebacked Yes | 56c | 35.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7481…279fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 56c | 30.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…06c7backed No | 64c | 23.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…0cc8backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +444.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Cup?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.