TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf23c…555d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5463%34 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$10
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+65.4%+$13.08
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37.9%+$11.38
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$62.5
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34.35
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+80.5%+$80.54
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2948.3%14 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+50.7%+$10.15
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+149.3%+$89.55
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$9.89
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.9%+$52.66
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$64.51
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-80.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$205
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.