Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2175f9ec44e13dd8e275c3a550c3369a6dad6177eb9d3860f564a6b71220c226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 65c | 35,345$22,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,370.6 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 35,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 11,244$8,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.4 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 73c | 8,621$6,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.66 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 7,894$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.15 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 6,473$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.28 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 5,239$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.19 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 26c | 3,778$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 34c | 2,062$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 65c | 1,993$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.14 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 62c | 1,477$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.26 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 36c | 1,364$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 37c | 1,355$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…eb44backed Yes | 22c | 1,200$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 1,157$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.73 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 38c | 1,005$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.95 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 35c | 799.96$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.98 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 24c | 798.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.62 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 22c | 787.5$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 600.13$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 34c | 524.81$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.44 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed No | 66c | 511.74$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 34c | 472.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 65c | 444.17$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 36c | 433.61$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 29c | 417.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 405.7$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…f7bdbacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4c58backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 64c | 374.05$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Yes | 13c | 360$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes | 29c | 347.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Yes | 7c | 345.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…0d2dbacked Yes | 34c | 345.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 13c | 344.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 71c | 340$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed No | 65c | 311.97$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…ca8dbacked Yes | 33c | 307.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 36c | 293.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 36c | 288.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 35c | 287.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1f…0ec8backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 267.51$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…846cbacked Yes | 30c | 255$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 22c | 234.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 73c | 234.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 63c | 233.17$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 34c | 203.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 20c | 200.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…7db9backed Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 62c | 185$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…1096backed Yes | 36c | 164.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 64c | 151.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 37c | 151.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 37c | 142$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 36c | 138.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes | 25c | 136.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 78c | 129.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…8590backed Yes | 32c | 128.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 62c | 124.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 12c | 118.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 36c | 118.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb458…384abacked Yes | 28c | 117.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc943…223cbacked No | 63c | 111$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 64c | 111$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 64c | 108.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 33c | 107.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Yes | 33c | 107.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 65c | 106.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 22c | 104.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ac…18a3backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.