Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdffff3b1ada970d7293baba3e447f0fb856ab1ab6368f1be2f9a66ec27d84421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $813,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $776,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $813,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed No | 63c | 202,161$126,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,562 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 37c | 163,609$61,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,180.21 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes | 39c | 64,069$24,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,985.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 16c | 55,133$8,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,722.94 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 38c | 26,207$9,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,958.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 61c | 25,903$15,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,030.49 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 40c | 24,620$9,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,832.48 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 22,349$13,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,435.42 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 8,050$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.19 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 37c | 7,309$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,571.23 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 36c | 5,215$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 36c | 4,834$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.2 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7746…25aabacked Yes | 36c | 3,997$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 3,611$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.54 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64f…0be7backed Yes | 36c | 3,564$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…493fbacked Yes | 36c | 3,332$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 64c | 3,258$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.41 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x715e…d4d6backed Yes | 36c | 3,160$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…20a2backed No | 64c | 2,877$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…08e5backed No | 64c | 2,753$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…17babacked Yes | 36c | 2,696$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…b03cbacked No | 64c | 2,614$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc355…b98fbacked Yes | 36c | 2,489$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b1…5f45backed No | 64c | 2,471$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa058…9fc0backed Yes | 36c | 2,434$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…c746backed Yes | 36c | 2,394$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5e…47eebacked No | 64c | 2,367$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb98…5448backed No | 64c | 2,286$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…321ebacked Yes | 36c | 2,258$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…a89abacked Yes | 36c | 2,244$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60af…1972backed Yes | 36c | 2,188$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 2,185$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.92 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa891…df1cbacked No | 64c | 2,140$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeea…6cebbacked No | 64c | 2,139$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 63c | 2,114$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,074$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.21 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…c149backed No | 64c | 2,060$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 2,036$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.28 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…33fcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,988$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 63c | 1,957$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.14 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…6cc4backed No | 64c | 1,920$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…5a5fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,902$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…bd5fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,901$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…6e29backed Yes | 36c | 1,888$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…3144backed Yes | 36c | 1,839$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…37fbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,765$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…bb1dbacked No | 64c | 1,756$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0e…1167backed Yes | 36c | 1,756$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c8adbacked Yes | 36c | 1,750$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe313…7e65backed Yes | 36c | 1,744$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…351ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,692$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd1…1d6bbacked No | 64c | 1,680$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…632ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,663$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…2efabacked No | 64c | 1,621$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde12…a508backed No | 64c | 1,620$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…721bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,597$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6085…4880backed Yes | 36c | 1,591$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e9…16c2backed No | 64c | 1,555$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…546dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,555$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…56b7backed No | 64c | 1,554$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…5aedbacked Yes | 36c | 1,545$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001e…8316backed No | 64c | 1,528$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…71d2backed No | 64c | 1,525$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…46cdbacked Yes | 36c | 1,520$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 40c | 1,494$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.02 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6942…48e4backed Yes | 36c | 1,483$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…f172backed No | 64c | 1,476$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0f…53b7backed Yes | 36c | 1,475$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…e2a6backed Yes | 36c | 1,465$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,451$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.04 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…6e13backed Yes | 36c | 1,446$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…2382backed Yes | 36c | 1,436$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12f…194abacked No | 64c | 1,430$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…2ad3backed No | 64c | 1,420$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8416…0685backed Yes | 36c | 1,419$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb455…76b1backed No | 64c | 1,414$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 62c | 1,408$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.12 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd7…de35backed Yes | 36c | 1,392$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…b3aabacked No | 64c | 1,365$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe982…7329backed Yes | 36c | 1,360$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…669ebacked No | 64c | 1,350$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…8955backed Yes | 36c | 1,346$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…9a6abacked Yes | 36c | 1,344$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb1…f93cbacked No | 64c | 1,315$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6a…cacfbacked Yes | 36c | 1,292$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…21c1backed No | 64c | 1,274$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 61c | 1,246$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…4ea5backed No | 64c | 1,237$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 36c | 1,230$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.8 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…82aebacked Yes | 36c | 1,224$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae13…2dfebacked Yes | 36c | 1,221$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…962bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,209$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99d…11d8backed No | 64c | 1,204$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.