Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf190c67ff07135d9c1e636b4312d89359d4647806feb580c2dea745c88b87bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 24,680$13,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,568.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 19,706$8,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,457.12 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 18,153$7,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,601.49 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 56c | 14,000$7,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,769.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 59c | 10,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 43c | 7,505$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 28c | 7,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 7,159$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183.96 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 56c | 5,300$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 42c | 5,056$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 40c | 4,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.99 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 41c | 4,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.99 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 57c | 3,773$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.38 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 57c | 3,508$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.56 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…394abacked Yes | 59c | 3,071$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 41c | 3,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 2,849$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.06 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 42c | 2,605$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.76 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 42c | 2,409$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.7 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 41c | 2,243$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.53 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 41c | 1,692$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 60c | 1,572$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 1,547$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.66 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 1,519$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.15 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 40c | 1,516$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.37 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 42c | 1,436$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.79 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…9c7fbacked No | 41c | 1,192$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 58c | 1,171$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.18 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…f790backed No | 41c | 1,018$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 24c | 1,014$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 21c | 959.55$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…943dbacked No | 41c | 861$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 18c | 651.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 41c | 569.27$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.87 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 12c | 493.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…899bbacked Yes | 59c | 452.43$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 58c | 412.45$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 60c | 401.46$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 41c | 399.95$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.14 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 48c | 390.31$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417c…cef0backed No | 41c | 315$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 63c | 313.65$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…a965backed Yes | 59c | 310$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8856…5384backed Yes | 59c | 305$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…2cd7backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 12c | 299.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 68c | 293.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 291$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 222.54$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 41c | 221.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 36c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…f5c7backed Yes | 58c | 194.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 49c | 174.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 58c | 173$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked Yes | 18c | 162.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 57c | 154$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 59c | 152.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 42c | 144.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…9e25backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 59c | 118$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.