Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc301725773ba4dfbf0c6cdf01762a84266d16788c04b46fa98dc5409506a9cfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 10,078$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.28 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 4,464$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.25 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 68c | 3,714$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.38 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 78c | 3,590$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 68c | 3,117$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.32 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 33c | 1,364$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 1,359$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.43 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Yes | 77c | 1,297$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 31c | 1,061$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.86 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 33c | 1,042$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 74c | 892.97$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.82 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 69c | 797.1$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.1 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 77c | 792.97$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 768.8$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 78c | 599.98$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 25c | 513.16$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 70c | 499.58$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 30c | 444.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 69c | 432.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…36cfbacked Yes | 69c | 430.43$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 79c | 400$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 70c | 371.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…6be6backed Yes | 69c | 349.31$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 69c | 348.41$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 65c | 334.63$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 22c | 320$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 70c | 314.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 27c | 272.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…8786backed Yes | 69c | 248$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 69c | 213.88$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 23c | 198.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650e…9147backed No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 30c | 171.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 77c | 170$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 157.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 59c | 155$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 31c | 154.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6cbebacked No | 24c | 153.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 64c | 139.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…8d5bbacked No | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 69c | 101.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 95.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 70c | 92.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Yes | 63c | 91.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 29c | 89.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 76c | 86.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked Yes | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b2…4951backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 64c | 66.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 27c | 62.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…2784backed No | 32c | 59.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…5327backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7812…fd68backed Yes | 69c | 58.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Yes | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…abc5backed Yes | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Yes | 66c | 45.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 68c | 45.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…555dbacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a80…cfdcbacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 69c | 43.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes | 69c | 43.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…ef42backed Yes | 70c | 42.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b1…4f69backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Yes | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…74cfbacked Yes | 69c | 37.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 29c | 37.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…4043backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c21…5b0bbacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…fc81backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 69c | 36.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 35.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…8910backed Yes | 68c | 33.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…a7bdbacked Yes | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5748backed Yes | 70c | 30.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a6…fd0dbacked Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…41eebacked Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.