TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa24a…5327

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Team Aunkere vs Team shoke (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsbacked Team Aunkere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+142%+$42.59
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Red Feet - Map 2 Winnerbacked Red Feet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.81
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$22.29
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Omega - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.18
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Abacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.79
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE - Map 1 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.96
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$36.85
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+236.5%+$64.36
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+159.4%+$39.85
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$56.92
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.97
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs DRX Challengers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.03
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$19.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$14.93
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$56.05
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+79.5%+$11.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.88
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.