CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bd911e1438288c3e641b2efd872537c0f790c00f353f09377f7ef1719f90e38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof PARIVISION, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,092 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccb2…8586backed Heroic | 59c | 8,439$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.92 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION | 41c | 5,504$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.64 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 2,732$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.48 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed PARIVISION | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic | 59c | 2,000$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.2 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,029$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.91 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked PARIVISION | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION | 37c | 699.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.99 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Heroic | 60c | 692.65$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.06 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed PARIVISION | 41c | 536.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed PARIVISION | 40c | 502.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Heroic | 66c | 449.67$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic | 62c | 437.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION | 42c | 428$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Heroic | 62c | 400.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Heroic | 58c | 399.82$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heroic | 70c | 342.03$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed PARIVISION | 33c | 337.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Heroic | 62c | 305$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed PARIVISION | 39c | 220.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 200.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…ce1bbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 180.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…d26fbacked Heroic | 62c | 169.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…315ebacked PARIVISION | 43c | 158.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…567cbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 137.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…e93fbacked Heroic | 63c | 111.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Heroic | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION | 35c | 98.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Heroic | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked PARIVISION | 39c | 76.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…08abbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 66.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Heroic | 62c | 64.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Heroic | 64c | 63.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed PARIVISION | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed PARIVISION | 41c | 60.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed PARIVISION | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…ea21backed PARIVISION | 41c | 56.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked Heroic | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Heroic | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Heroic | 54c | 48.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed PARIVISION | 39c | 45.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Heroic | 62c | 44.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…5327backed PARIVISION | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5232…ef67backed PARIVISION | 40c | 40.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2242…9decbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 40.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed PARIVISION | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Heroic | 73c | 33.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…c95cbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Heroic | 58c | 25.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…4f45backed PARIVISION | 41c | 25.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…a5a7backed PARIVISION | 41c | 24.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked Heroic | 60c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Heroic won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.