TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof PARIVISION, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,016,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,016,866 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 583 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic45c147,837$67,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,664.0742440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked PARIVISION67c44,644$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00022654.9%124 W · 102 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed PARIVISION57c42,854$24,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,568.3422941.9%96 W · 133 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb2…8586backed PARIVISION64c35,000$22,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,4003961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Heroic37c34,065$12,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,558.1333043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Heroic34c30,000$10,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,95072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Heroic33c26,946$8,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,143.4912328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Heroic40c23,035$9,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,839.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION67c22,333$14,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,963.19256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked PARIVISION68c22,000$14,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,96016448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed PARIVISION67c20,299$13,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,60012649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed PARIVISION55c20,070$10,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,968.6842341.8%177 W · 246 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heroic33c20,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,40030726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Heroic54c18,686$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,685.662240.9%9 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.24per pick65cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Heroic38c15,196$5,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,426.8475550.6%382 W · 373 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699a…2d38backed Heroic32c14,845$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,094.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+56.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed PARIVISION58c13,126$7,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,559.6128453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed PARIVISION31c11,887$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6601752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked PARIVISION0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023234.9%81 W · 151 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b1…2b7bbacked PARIVISION67c10,980$7,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,356.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Heroic32c10,030$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,780.5622849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed PARIVISION51c9,913$5,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.6619455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked PARIVISION68c9,480$6,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,446.435850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82c8…92b2backed PARIVISION43c8,700$3,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,741520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked PARIVISION41c8,700$3,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,56729347.1%138 W · 155 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Heroic46c8,689$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,726.873537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Heroic42c8,500$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,904.966656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked PARIVISION38c8,170$3,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.051,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4564…c051backed PARIVISION2c7,736$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1475236.5%19 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION55c7,518$4,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,162.895,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Heroic33c7,169$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.3821548.4%104 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed PARIVISION66c6,645$4,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,385.6837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION49c6,586$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250.823,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked PARIVISION67c6,331$4,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,243.4412736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed PARIVISION67c6,044$4,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,051.2539239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed PARIVISION50c5,999$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.76836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Heroic33c5,906$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,957.0647347.1%223 W · 250 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked PARIVISION41c5,878$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.9810138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Heroic45c5,754$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,159.5419834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Heroic49c5,522$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.773852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed PARIVISION61c5,277$3,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,218.9317857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb12b…5a89backed PARIVISION67c4,900$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.976168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed PARIVISION67c4,000$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,68018752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed PARIVISION53c3,791$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed PARIVISION67c3,709$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,48517240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed PARIVISION51c3,704$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.317249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION43c3,622$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.3132348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Heroic58c3,533$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Heroic45c3,494$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.881,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION38c3,472$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.586,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed PARIVISION67c3,464$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.8160853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked PARIVISION60c3,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed PARIVISION67c3,330$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2406350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed PARIVISION23c3,296$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7681650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked PARIVISION60c3,197$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.968444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed PARIVISION56c3,094$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.955736.3%202 W · 355 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Heroic33c3,025$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.7512742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Heroic53c2,973$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.469153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Heroic40c2,870$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.87940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked PARIVISION61c2,839$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.456347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION26c2,564$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.081,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed PARIVISION60c2,500$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.5865946.9%309 W · 350 L+18.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked PARIVISION59c2,495$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.865855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa146…8340backed Heroic32c2,394$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab6…bf68backed PARIVISION67c2,336$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.222532%8 W · 17 L-6.1wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked PARIVISION67c2,332$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.3314144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe462…90b9backed PARIVISION68c2,300$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic32c2,275$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.041,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic33c2,203$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.825,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked PARIVISION58c2,203$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.998353%44 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd015…ec20backed PARIVISION7c2,162$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.298354.2%45 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Heroic48c2,067$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.8917949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Heroic38c2,064$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.6925039.6%99 W · 151 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Heroic35c2,038$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.387537.3%28 W · 47 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed PARIVISION49c2,026$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.8624262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Heroic58c2,022$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.2332752.3%171 W · 156 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION24c2,014$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.851,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed PARIVISION45c2,000$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Heroic34c2,000$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.9813545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked PARIVISION32c1,985$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63052834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed PARIVISION4c1,979$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3517617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic32c1,900$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29284454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed PARIVISION58c1,870$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08336554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5d2…1b03backed PARIVISION60c1,840$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.056233.9%21 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed PARIVISION67c1,829$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.3246343.2%200 W · 263 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Heroic40c1,750$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0505651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Heroic47c1,706$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.386544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Heroic46c1,685$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.8115760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked PARIVISION48c1,659$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.053,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed PARIVISION68c1,603$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09020838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked PARIVISION56c1,585$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.645357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed PARIVISION42c1,549$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.2562137.7%234 W · 387 L-23.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Heroic46c1,531$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.8332653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed PARIVISION67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00526451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION49c1,463$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.614,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked PARIVISION41c1,410$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.110550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Heroic36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8912552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed PARIVISION60c1,352$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.0720942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION51c1,325$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.6745859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Heroic33c1,310$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.9415141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.