TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SAWof Donstu Esports, SAW
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3db4…d69bbacked Donstu Esports55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9875056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bcd…0a69backed Donstu Esports49c3,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.139349.5%46 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Donstu Esports57c2,795$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.4724551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed SAW48c2,303$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2025,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW49c1,844$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.332,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked SAW40c1,633$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.5517448.3%84 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed SAW45c1,171$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.852,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Donstu Esports61c1,081$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.2835847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed SAW62c903.97$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.516,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SAW48c856.84$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.952,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW52c772.31$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.133,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed SAW54c761.61$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.462,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed SAW39c635$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.1639245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked SAW48c607.25$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.291,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Donstu Esports55c588.75$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.3627647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Donstu Esports50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27517240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked SAW45c511.11$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1158745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed SAW52c490.76$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3275438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Donstu Esports54c442.47$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7616850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked SAW56c420.55$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked SAW54c373.29$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1763038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec04…1bcebacked Donstu Esports60c372.37$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick47cpaid-75.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Donstu Esports55c364$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.235153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed SAW41c363$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1723146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked SAW48c344.35$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.783,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Donstu Esports60c330.4$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.111,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Donstu Esports60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Donstu Esports59c268$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1217142.1%72 W · 99 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked SAW56c232.7$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.061,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed SAW49c215.12$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.922,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Donstu Esports44c212.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.582,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Donstu Esports59c207.33$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3255039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Donstu Esports60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12085851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed SAW56c181.62$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4188330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed SAW43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.61,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f64…9ca2backed Donstu Esports59c166.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982665.4%17 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Donstu Esports60c159.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6218645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked SAW49c135.77$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.83,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Donstu Esports57c129$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2339955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Donstu Esports35c129$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6832139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Donstu Esports55c126$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.365548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked SAW41c124.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.243759.5%22 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed SAW41c122$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7933627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked SAW57c117.49$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.981,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c8…a722backed SAW43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed SAW58c110.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.042,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked SAW72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.431,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0936…3833backed SAW56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446651.5%34 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked SAW46c93.17$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.292,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Donstu Esports59c89.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0416754.5%91 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1924…8e55backed SAW45c85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked SAW40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4838032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Donstu Esports55c75.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4220147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed SAW41c72.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7377146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed SAW64c72$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.922,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Donstu Esports42c71.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8930859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed SAW73c68.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7222346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports39c62.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.414,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Donstu Esports60c62.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.335947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Donstu Esports56c60.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9317041.2%70 W · 100 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Donstu Esports59c60.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6149149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d6…041dbacked Donstu Esports42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.26735.8%24 W · 43 L-13.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-41.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed SAW64c56.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.192,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Donstu Esports48c53.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.932,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc700…31a1backed Donstu Esports55c53.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.377140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9d…de16backed Donstu Esports61c53.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4814060%84 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed Donstu Esports44c52.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321850.9%111 W · 107 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80f5…daa2backed SAW58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed SAW44c51.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7345748.1%220 W · 237 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed SAW49c50.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.623644.1%104 W · 132 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked Donstu Esports60c49.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.665246.2%24 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed SAW50c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.566436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa24a…5327backed Donstu Esports43c46.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27b6…e8babacked Donstu Esports43c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.662846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed SAW59c42.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5855749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed SAW51c41.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3839946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3386…8e59backed SAW65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x355f…dad6backed SAW50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked SAW64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked SAW40c37.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2151252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed SAW41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cdb…4cc2backed Donstu Esports60c23.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6297…1e59backed Donstu Esports58c21.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Donstu Esports59c21.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6724054.6%131 W · 109 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed Donstu Esports55c21.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7432951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96db…499fbacked Donstu Esports58c20.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.796347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58cc…6415backed Donstu Esports60c20.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.052450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Donstu Esports60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.