CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8982f0911f38e68c88917957c72081328de6d2a716f93a58424df853e6b3ae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof Donstu Esports, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 74c | 216.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.14 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 59c | 178.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SAW | 29c | 172$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Donstu Esports | 54c | 166.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW | 53c | 161.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Donstu Esports | 18c | 158.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94de…e3cabacked SAW | 69c | 145.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Donstu Esports | 41c | 119.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SAW | 73c | 108.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Donstu Esports | 55c | 103.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed SAW | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SAW | 54c | 95.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 87.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SAW | 61c | 84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Donstu Esports | 40c | 81.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed SAW | 41c | 73.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Donstu Esports | 59c | 67.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…8d5abacked Donstu Esports | 39c | 63.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Donstu Esports | 74c | 50.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 419 | 50.1%210 W · 209 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Donstu Esports | 75c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Donstu Esports | 47c | 45.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SAW | 58c | 44.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 42.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Donstu Esports | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed SAW | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Donstu Esports | 39c | 36.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SAW | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSAW won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW - Map 1 WinnerSAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.