CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18929423b0b69587871b333d8521825cc561153c1a76d89e6a3b5a470317031d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof Donstu Esports, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 16c | 979.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW | 46c | 610.3$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.56 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 396.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked SAW | 52c | 319.07$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 31c | 135.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Donstu Esports | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,292 | 21.9%283 W · 1,009 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Donstu Esports | 54c | 88.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW | 48c | 78.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed Donstu Esports | 28c | 70.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed SAW | 54c | 58.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 2,561 | 43.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Donstu Esports | 49c | 53.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Donstu Esports | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SAW | 48c | 36.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 2,608 | 41.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L | -123.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Donstu Esports | 46c | 35.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed SAW | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 718 | 42.3%304 W · 414 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked SAW | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SAW | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Donstu Esports | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSAW won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW - Map 2 WinnerSAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.