Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd29c070576dbd33dd63c69235ec3c1d04b01453d19717ecf8a795f4b72e03d73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 41c | 5,859$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.27 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 4,473$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.46 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 1,981$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.26 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 1,918$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.84 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 1,581$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.15 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7883…f72abacked Over | 75c | 1,340$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…5f27backed Over | 14c | 990$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 659.28$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.02 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 5c | 617.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.05 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +356.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 23c | 534$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 57c | 522.53$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.39 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 56c | 445.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 42c | 411.31$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.35 | 243 | 48.6%118 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 59c | 406.23$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 56c | 323.2$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 249.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 178.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 165.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 65c | 130.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 35c | 109$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 59c | 83.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 60.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 67c | 59.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 79c | 57.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 34c | 55.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 33c | 49.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…5327backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 46c | 39.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 66c | 37.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Under | 59c | 33.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Over | 63c | 33.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…e37cbacked Over | 62c | 32.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cae…db7fbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2a05backed Over | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Over | 40c | 30.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 59c | 22.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 66c | 20.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.