TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Khaleej Saudi Clubof Al Ittihad Saudi Club, Al Khaleej Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,684 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e37…cfbdbacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club39c333.92$130 inLost-$130.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club62c295$184 inWon+$111.371,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club26c246.83$65 inLost-$64.515,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club43c232.56$100 inLost-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8c…1977backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club61c173.11$106 inWon+$67.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa839…6f8cbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club61c161.8$99 inWon+$63.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa50…27d6backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club78c157.54$123 inWon+$34.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club57c117.56$67 inWon+$50.531,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club33c100.25$33 inLost-$33.0817340.5%70 W · 103 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club67c100.25$67 inWon+$33.0839655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club43c100$43 inLost-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club37c85.18$32 inLost-$31.5212147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club24c58.66$14 inLost-$13.9196846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club41c50$21 inLost-$20.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club27c40.74$11 inLost-$1110335%36 W · 67 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club78c26.97$21 inWon+$5.9369352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.