CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ac58b08d2b4abd8dfa1a33e0b5fd9a0ea072d4f236f998e9c3ae762488460e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $641,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $797,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $641,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed NIP | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.96 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed BIG | 52c | 28,212$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,611.57 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked NIP | 49c | 26,082$12,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,667.61 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed NIP | 49c | 20,400$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,995.97 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked BIG | 55c | 12,293$6,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.57 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP | 23c | 11,211$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.19 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked BIG | 50c | 11,007$5,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,472.36 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked BIG | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.94 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed NIP | 32c | 9,667$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed BIG | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed BIG | 52c | 9,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed NIP | 49c | 9,110$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.9 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed BIG | 58c | 8,385$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.03 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 29c | 8,285$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.26 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed NIP | 25c | 8,057$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.02 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…5d1abacked NIP | 36c | 7,952$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BIG | 52c | 7,643$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,668.64 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked NIP | 49c | 7,432$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.5 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed NIP | 47c | 6,875$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.19 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked BIG | 51c | 6,870$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.23 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked NIP | 26c | 6,446$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.49 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 24c | 6,222$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.72 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed BIG | 80c | 5,339$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.8 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed BIG | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP | 24c | 4,859$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.27 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 51c | 4,604$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BIG | 71c | 4,144$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.65 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG | 73c | 4,123$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.83 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed NIP | 42c | 4,075$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.38 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed BIG | 80c | 4,071$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.2 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed BIG | 79c | 4,071$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.65 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed NIP | 13c | 4,013$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.43 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BIG | 74c | 4,000$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.98 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 74c | 3,886$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed BIG | 52c | 3,874$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.45 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b8febacked BIG | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed BIG | 70c | 3,686$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed BIG | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed NIP | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed NIP | 47c | 3,145$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.16 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP | 19c | 2,962$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.02 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed NIP | 21c | 2,879$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.82 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…5dabbacked NIP | 2c | 2,673$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BIG | 66c | 2,654$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.67 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BIG | 73c | 2,309$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.43 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked BIG | 49c | 2,280$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.8 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed NIP | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed NIP | 48c | 2,080$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed BIG | 80c | 2,047$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.49 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed BIG | 80c | 2,035$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…aa52backed BIG | 50c | 2,024$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NIP | 20c | 2,019$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.22 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed NIP | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed NIP | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP | 24c | 1,991$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.73 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed NIP | 48c | 1,972$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.73 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BIG | 52c | 1,870$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.03 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…2c12backed NIP | 47c | 1,851$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…6416backed BIG | 68c | 1,851$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed BIG | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed NIP | 47c | 1,776$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed BIG | 59c | 1,730$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.3 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed BIG | 62c | 1,655$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.86 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed NIP | 36c | 1,595$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.2 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed NIP | 25c | 1,583$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.79 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed NIP | 21c | 1,556$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.56 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed BIG | 51c | 1,546$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.95 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked NIP | 14c | 1,533$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.05 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP | 25c | 1,447$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.32 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed BIG | 62c | 1,441$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.21 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed BIG | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked BIG | 79c | 1,389$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.69 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked NIP | 21c | 1,338$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.86 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed NIP | 38c | 1,329$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.89 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked NIP | 19c | 1,310$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.77 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked NIP | 25c | 1,300$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.85 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed BIG | 48c | 1,255$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.1 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed NIP | 20c | 1,248$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed BIG | 49c | 1,241$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.15 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed NIP | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf0…696fbacked BIG | 64c | 1,180$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.22 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed NIP | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed NIP | 48c | 1,169$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.94 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…13cdbacked BIG | 64c | 1,093$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed NIP | 54c | 1,075$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.31 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked BIG | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.04 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked NIP | 10c | 1,012$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed BIG | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed BIG | 57c | 1,000$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed NIP | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed NIP | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed NIP | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NIP | 29c | 999.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.03 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked BIG | 51c | 999.94$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.97 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed NIP | 47c | 999.93$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked NIP | 18c | 969$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed NIP | 29c | 965.89$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.74 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked NIP | 14c | 964.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed BIG | 52c | 960.52$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.46 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked BIG | 52c | 960$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)NIP won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)BIG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.