CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2371b39b1b0a0ffeec70f4d8cf4f0c2b6ba00e5c47991a171518b3224a493703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed NIP | 50c | 9,984$4,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked NIP | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BIG | 64c | 5,127$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.52 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BIG | 64c | 4,950$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.21 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG | 64c | 4,513$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.86 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed NIP | 36c | 4,087$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.49 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked BIG | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked BIG | 41c | 3,141$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.5 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed NIP | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.85 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG | 41c | 2,943$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.39 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked BIG | 73c | 2,700$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.03 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed BIG | 68c | 2,575$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.36 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BIG | 70c | 2,318$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.34 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed NIP | 45c | 2,150$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.48 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed NIP | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed NIP | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked NIP | 40c | 1,948$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.69 | 238 | 46.2%110 W · 128 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked NIP | 43c | 1,685$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BIG | 36c | 1,619$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.22 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed BIG | 45c | 1,415$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.43 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed NIP | 54c | 1,254$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.26 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed BIG | 55c | 1,240$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.18 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked NIP | 33c | 1,218$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.46 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked NIP | 25c | 1,102$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NIP | 52c | 1,071$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.17 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BIG | 29c | 1,000$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.23 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed NIP | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed NIP | 67c | 999.99$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.99 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG | 34c | 968.11$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.1 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NIP | 39c | 915.69$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.66 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked BIG | 73c | 898.78$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.16 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked BIG | 64c | 848.18$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.77 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked NIP | 78c | 824.19$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.91 | 618 | 54.9%339 W · 279 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed BIG | 49c | 728.03$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.58 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed NIP | 42c | 720.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked NIP | 55c | 706.2$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.05 | 219 | 24.2%53 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…2754backed BIG | 71c | 701.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed BIG | 46c | 700.86$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.44 | 320 | 47.2%151 W · 169 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed NIP | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed NIP | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 31c | 599.19$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.25 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed BIG | 67c | 590.74$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.91 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BIG | 59c | 529.92$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.96 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP | 38c | 500.15$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.12 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked BIG | 51c | 500$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.76 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed NIP | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked NIP | 40c | 489.89$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NIP | 53c | 470.56$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.29 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed BIG | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…3198backed NIP | 79c | 431.85$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed BIG | 47c | 421.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.39 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NIP | 42c | 410.63$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.83 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked BIG | 21c | 405.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.43 | 399 | 44.1%176 W · 223 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked NIP | 38c | 397$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -10.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NIP | 58c | 396.12$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.11 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked BIG | 28c | 392.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.4 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed NIP | 67c | 390$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.3 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed NIP | 67c | 373.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BIG | 26c | 357.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.85 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 74c | 349$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.47 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked NIP | 24c | 308.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked BIG | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed NIP | 46c | 257.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked BIG | 47c | 255.73$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed NIP | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked NIP | 50c | 245.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed BIG | 56c | 239.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed NIP | 39c | 228.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed BIG | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NIP | 38c | 226.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked BIG | 67c | 223.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed NIP | 28c | 210.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked BIG | 79c | 206.6$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 231 | 29%67 W · 164 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NIP | 42c | 206$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed NIP | 53c | 205.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed NIP | 11c | 205.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NIP | 47c | 200.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed NIP | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 692 | 53.6%371 W · 321 L | -23.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…d555backed BIG | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed BIG | 70c | 190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 477 | 41.7%199 W · 278 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed NIP | 52c | 189.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked BIG | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 412 | 54.9%226 W · 186 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BIG | 59c | 184.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 43c | 176$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked BIG | 53c | 170$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 486 | 52.3%254 W · 232 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed NIP | 76c | 169.7$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked NIP | 55c | 165$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed NIP | 40c | 163.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed BIG | 46c | 162.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 539 | 45.5%245 W · 294 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NIP | 25c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed BIG | 63c | 158.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 210 | 53.8%113 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed NIP | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed NIP | 12c | 149.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9b…50a8backed NIP | 37c | 145.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed BIG | 70c | 141.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71f…043ebacked BIG | 58c | 139.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed NIP | 50c | 130.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed BIG | 54c | 125.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 443 | 44%195 W · 248 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked NIP | 24c | 124.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)NIP won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)BIG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.