CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaf647489428fd9cdbd99de3043e037841773039a35fab493915a77a61a5a668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof BIG, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed BIG | 60c | 10,281$6,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,171.42 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BIG | 65c | 6,763$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.47 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed NIP | 34c | 6,515$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.39 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BIG | 55c | 5,410$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.75 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP | 35c | 5,213$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.52 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed NIP | 57c | 5,145$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.49 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked BIG | 58c | 5,041$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.29 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed NIP | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BIG | 66c | 4,684$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.27 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BIG | 54c | 4,674$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.06 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 51c | 3,897$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.83 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP | 32c | 3,696$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.25 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked NIP | 25c | 3,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.98 | 219 | 24.2%53 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed NIP | 41c | 3,480$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.19 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked BIG | 60c | 3,224$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.59 | 367 | 53.7%197 W · 170 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked NIP | 31c | 3,190$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.39 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed NIP | 54c | 3,000$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked NIP | 40c | 2,998$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.66 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed NIP | 33c | 2,654$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.59 | 362 | 39.2%142 W · 220 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG | 69c | 2,628$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.75 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked BIG | 62c | 2,626$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.95 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked NIP | 54c | 2,571$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.61 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked BIG | 69c | 2,537$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.23 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed NIP | 42c | 2,207$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.49 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed NIP | 43c | 2,173$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.84 | 462 | 46.8%216 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed NIP | 36c | 2,142$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.78 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed BIG | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed BIG | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed BIG | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed NIP | 40c | 1,954$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.15 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed NIP | 39c | 1,950$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.49 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed BIG | 55c | 1,947$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.29 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed NIP | 47c | 1,748$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.57 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed BIG | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed BIG | 59c | 1,697$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked NIP | 18c | 1,690$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.04 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked BIG | 59c | 1,622$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957 | 361 | 45.4%164 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked BIG | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…66cbbacked BIG | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed BIG | 60c | 1,402$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.74 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed NIP | 50c | 1,188$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.91 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed BIG | 63c | 1,127$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.38 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BIG | 49c | 1,018$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.56 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed NIP | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed BIG | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed NIP | 39c | 982.97$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.61 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed NIP | 39c | 977$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.97 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP | 35c | 970.93$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.21 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BIG | 49c | 878.55$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.1 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed BIG | 58c | 867.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 282 | 61.3%173 W · 109 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked NIP | 41c | 843.98$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.64 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed BIG | 73c | 828.29$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.09 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked BIG | 58c | 824.61$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.27 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NIP | 31c | 820.54$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.15 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP | 32c | 758.46$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.41 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked NIP | 39c | 751.28$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.28 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked NIP | 37c | 670.34$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.34 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked NIP | 41c | 668.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.7 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed BIG | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed BIG | 61c | 650$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed BIG | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked NIP | 31c | 642.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.07 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked BIG | 50c | 638$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.39 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked NIP | 39c | 615.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.38 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed BIG | 27c | 606$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed NIP | 42c | 603.58$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked NIP | 41c | 603.35$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.35 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…1a38backed NIP | 42c | 599.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +54%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked NIP | 40c | 590.63$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.29 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed NIP | 38c | 525.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.64 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3787backed NIP | 41c | 513.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BIG | 66c | 509.59$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.24 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed BIG | 58c | 504.04$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.89 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked BIG | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked BIG | 15c | 500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 226 | 41.2%93 W · 133 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed NIP | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 294 | 43.9%129 W · 165 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked NIP | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed BIG | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked BIG | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed NIP | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 539 | 45.5%245 W · 294 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed BIG | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 477 | 41.7%199 W · 278 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed BIG | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed BIG | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed NIP | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked BIG | 20c | 496$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed BIG | 58c | 484.03$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.23 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked NIP | 38c | 474.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.07 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…d555backed BIG | 42c | 473.06$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG | 44c | 422.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.51 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed NIP | 48c | 410.81$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.97 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked NIP | 28c | 402.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.07 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 35c | 398.81$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.59 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BIG | 29c | 393.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked BIG | 59c | 392.86$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BIG | 51c | 380.49$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 35c | 374.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.33 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed NIP | 42c | 346.55$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked BIG | 42c | 346.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BIG | 27c | 342.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked BIG | 61c | 330$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)NIP won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)BIG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.