CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c8965c11e826eacc9566c1c8cf50ea6902049a9c64d6d4824bfed166fb3300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 58c | 2,879$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.5 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 38c | 2,526$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.95 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…62babacked Over | 55c | 1,164$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 59c | 1,134$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.68 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 63c | 966.29$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.76 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 47c | 751.76$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.06 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 53c | 428.57$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.68 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 60c | 421$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.15 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 407.65$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.49 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 402.42$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.21 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Over | 49c | 362.9$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.08 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 320$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Over | 47c | 317.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 44c | 239.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 24c | 223.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.73 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 59c | 203.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 54c | 184$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 53c | 145.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…7d27backed Over | 39c | 101.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 41c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 43c | 74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 52c | 57.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…8970backed Over | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Over | 55c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Under | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -13.4wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)NIP won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)BIG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.