TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c26,320$10,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,881.226,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over44c6,056$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,391.362250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over75c5,009$3,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.214161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under57c4,999$2,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.352259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c4,250$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.444,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over76c3,948$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.523360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c3,077$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.792,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c2,895$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.32,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over45c2,878$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.389550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over76c2,640$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.614166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under54c2,229$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.8546943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over49c2,028$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.974738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc101…98edbacked Over43c1,999$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.582356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over76c1,747$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.915060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Under77c1,307$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over36c1,120$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over55c1,087$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.153633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Over75c999.99$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over76c997.02$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.292,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.2330645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Over49c839.99$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.41030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under25c762$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over48c736.71$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.097245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under45c720.54$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.843241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over54c705.56$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.568746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over44c690.2$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.866541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over75c670.42$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6151750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over43c667.44$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4435028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over45c665$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.755742.1%24 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over41c662.97$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.8413327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under16c608.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6196445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac86…b3b3backed Over34c588.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.514100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+92.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over60c534$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.67252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c521.4$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4931648.7%154 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over62c519.35$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.355145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under23c512.49$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.537342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002592%23 W · 2 L+8.7wins+0.35per pick57cpaid+109.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Over67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over22c499.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.993852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5416753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over67c456.98$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.225256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over19c453.92$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.1174056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over33c449.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.810939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over59c423.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8428654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Over71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8529…b973backed Over65c408.69$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.131844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17210252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over77c398.27$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.64755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over45c385$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.75119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-79.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under25c379.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.81,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under24c373.63$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over49c362$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18416548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under28c360.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.241,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21eb…e132backed Over71c359$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under23c332.58$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under44c325.93$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4116357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c323.37$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.571,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5820644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over36c313.89$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.896446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c312.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.53735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over47c312$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4511549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20115740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819056.7%51 W · 39 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.123354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x208c…b132backed Under69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over45c264.03$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.225058%29 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over38c262.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4628633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Over75c250.67$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.671872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over68c245$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.456168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over76c236.84$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8418265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under25c236$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5921049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c217.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.835743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under23c217.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…04b5backed Over80c210.2$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.041080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+96.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d43…cecdbacked Over60c202.23$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003959%23 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under41c198.72$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6813152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over49c197.04$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.494134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under11c194.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7621250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over48c175.66$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6617161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Under57c170.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.051741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffe…4fd7backed Over77c168.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.83366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over75c166.67$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.675160.8%31 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293650%18 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over51c159.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0541160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under26c155.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3712236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over65c155$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.514463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe66a…3e6dbacked Over36c152.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.78450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over55c148.13$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4225049.6%124 W · 126 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.364938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3320864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.878867%59 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.