TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$355,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,876 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Under48c39,943$19,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,770.1220545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under48c36,232$17,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,731.342259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Under51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,7001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c26,769$14,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,615.216,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over49c25,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,2505345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over52c24,635$12,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,809.045658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c21,687$10,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,337.9919253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over52c19,289$10,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0106567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under48c16,408$7,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,531.9885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Over52c14,349$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over52c11,883$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2004656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Under51c11,810$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,810.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f0…c0f5backed Over52c10,910$5,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,67210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over52c10,177$5,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,291.985947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under50c10,009$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,008.849846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over53c9,853$5,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2223735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over52c9,509$4,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,944.134742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Over52c8,138$4,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2321546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Under47c6,666$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.942665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over51c6,607$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.265455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Under48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2503339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over52c5,735$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.711553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Over52c5,555$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.66445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c5,212$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.7350644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over51c4,300$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1933661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.9918362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59f8…953fbacked Over52c3,840$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe03d…7208backed Over52c3,810$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c3,144$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.642,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under50c3,062$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.014252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4706100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over50c2,882$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.9812949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c2,759$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.434,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under47c2,401$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.373557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c2,386$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.2451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec3a…735fbacked Over25c2,317$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0405949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.937357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed Under56c1,854$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over51c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9182055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over25c1,800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ab…aa8dbacked Over52c1,731$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over52c1,614$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.071,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over52c1,515$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7886654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over39c1,476$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57510939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over52c1,228$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.5614166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c1,178$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.5375850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc8…9069backed Over52c1,142$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb38…1659backed Over52c1,142$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over52c1,127$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5864555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over49c1,109$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.176041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.996759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Under50c999.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.872759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over50c992.55$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under51c985.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.326233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over53c943.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.279053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c817.65$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.0752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under48c799.22$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.64560%27 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under78c776$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.788257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under47c599.98$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9923258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under47c599$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.4742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Over53c586.79$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c585$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6913…0616backed Over49c561.9$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over18c553.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over51c538$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.382040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over52c500.65$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2607544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24513054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under49c495.6$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7613327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over51c472.55$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under50c449.8$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6316357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over49c443.76$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.442962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under49c437.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.388643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1846753.7%36 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Under51c400$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Over52c385.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under55c359.56$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6313152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked Over50c334$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over8c332.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.64119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-79.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over25c327.47$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.785313.2%7 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under51c323.55$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.542050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over20c316.86$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6322242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c311.7$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.412,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafdb…62cbbacked Under48c310.27$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1569749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15059958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Under51c299.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.993641.7%15 W · 21 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over51c299.92$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9619357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over29c292$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0516548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.