Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84023382faead73069bb071b3d1d2745c5d6ca030bbdc92d012e18984de10ef9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 4,096$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 72c | 3,612$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.36 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Under | 72c | 2,670$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.94 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 1,671$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 28c | 1,456$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.23 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 5c | 776.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 688.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 71c | 633.8$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 71c | 633.8$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 74c | 603$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.78 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 73c | 506.85$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 16c | 458.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 4c | 327.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Over | 21c | 286$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 28c | 259$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 71c | 217.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 71c | 199.91$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 30c | 162.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 26c | 155$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed Under | 73c | 151.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Under | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…76afbacked Over | 27c | 112.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 28c | 103.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9ca8backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Over | 29c | 98.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 29c | 94.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…d4debacked Under | 71c | 89.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 15c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 28c | 58.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaab…aeacbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Over | 28c | 44.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Under | 71c | 43.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…875fbacked Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 29c | 38.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Under | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…cc5fbacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…bb3abacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…f6d8backed Under | 72c | 27.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…4b98backed Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.