Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25f1ce4abc18ba1d949cd4e215fe150eae63ddc0c42000f18e44f1f174dd5109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Under | 48c | 13,962$6,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,280.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 51c | 8,995$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620.44 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 4,017$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.47 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 50c | 3,326$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 52c | 2,513$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.66 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Over | 43c | 2,147$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 33c | 1,749$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.19 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 1,558$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.85 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,477$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.95 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,285$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 52c | 1,160$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.2 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 718.88$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.01 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 7c | 558.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 29c | 422.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 51c | 330.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 29c | 306.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 247.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 227.71$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 27c | 202.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 193.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Over | 46c | 191.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 38c | 108.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 52c | 89.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 48c | 73.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Over | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 52c | 51.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…5327backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 40.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7e…35b0backed Under | 50c | 37.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…4485backed Over | 51c | 37.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…dd09backed Under | 50c | 27.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…14f5backed Over | 51c | 27.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa989…0108backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 61c | 24.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 51c | 22.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 65c | 17.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.