Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98759fe20dc9e8a183da23040c64358bcb429869a9ea165737c0f4dab33dd241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 8,550$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 77c | 4,500$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.94 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 3,043$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.53 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 77c | 2,600$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.92 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 77c | 2,598$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.13 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 2,055$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.75 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 76c | 1,445$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.33 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 31c | 1,035$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.41 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Over | 31c | 287.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 8c | 257.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 56c | 253.61$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 68c | 244.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 77c | 240.38$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 235.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.05 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 52c | 208.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 28c | 196.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 52c | 192.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 76c | 156.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 41c | 134.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 24c | 117.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 23c | 116$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 115.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 105.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 24c | 100.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 42c | 97.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 32c | 94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 76c | 92.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 48c | 82.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 68.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under | 59c | 47.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 45c | 44.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 76c | 43.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 39c | 41.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 35c | 37.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…5715backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 77c | 23.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.