TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa126…5715

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4571.1%32 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.34
Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.81
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$15.52
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.88
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PGA Championship: Hole in One?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$14.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.