TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd267…9dc6backed No27c23,430$6,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,326.098828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes73c22,351$16,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,034.672850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes73c18,458$13,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,983.66051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No27c15,607$4,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2147139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No28c13,932$3,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,886.287922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No26c7,132$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.534,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes72c7,074$5,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.591936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No26c6,725$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.395253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f6…ce43backed Yes75c6,418$4,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No27c4,689$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.1115750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9824147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No27c3,979$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.22175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No29c3,635$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.3227453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No28c3,224$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.77714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-58.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No28c2,995$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.5330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes73c2,808$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.227468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Yes74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+120.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No16c2,600$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.8460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes72c2,414$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.228552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No26c2,400$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.998521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No34c2,278$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.457443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes74c2,170$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.213145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No29c2,108$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.2214244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No29c2,049$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.3115516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes78c1,935$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.512972.4%21 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No27c1,808$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.273925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No5c1,739$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.834621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No28c1,613$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.661926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No32c1,386$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.621435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.863551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No19c1,283$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8426147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes71c1,273$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.1528055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes74c1,140$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.777100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes73c1,085$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.352365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes65c1,065$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.571942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes60c1,054$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.2412251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2605658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No32c999.51$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2317155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes59c998.37$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.83887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+80.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes73c986.3$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.31090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes70c982.19$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.196160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes78c975$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.513969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No28c949.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2666431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes73c938.53$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.53785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No27c926$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1643…a761backed Yes74c915.24$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f83…825cbacked Yes69c909.44$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Yes72c876.78$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes73c858.41$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7714759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes71c843.78$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.781675%12 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes60c831.87$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.7513045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No27c699.96$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.995740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes73c692.51$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x968a…6842backed Yes73c690$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.31560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes65c687.18$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.913,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9326645.5%121 W · 145 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes75c666.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.027045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes76c613.05$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.134465.9%29 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24011457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes70c524.86$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.462254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13520255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355151%26 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes72c489.84$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1653242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb0…c007backed Yes68c465$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes72c456$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3114540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes73c454.74$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2610248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda29…30febacked Yes72c438.89$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No25c430.75$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7355941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84eb…869dbacked No27c408$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.16933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes74c405.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.425952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x989b…8864backed Yes76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93fa…a660backed Yes72c361.11$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.11650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Yes74c359$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.341346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No19c350$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4229038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes74c350$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes68c347$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05a3…14f4backed Yes74c330$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.86100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+55.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7811947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Yes71c300$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7020…fd20backed Yes63c292.23$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes65c291.59$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.382934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Yes74c291.28$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.731450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes61c270$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.33455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes66c247.23$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.131872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8189…fa33backed Yes74c227.77$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No27c219.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes69c188.15$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.151181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe085…5474backed Yes74c168.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes65c167.63$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.673243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.73250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes72c159.24$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.