Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46338714533261f34aaed64b26b009e8752c77a3133241a4b7da8990771eb326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 4,336$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.31 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 46c | 2,925$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.28 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 78c | 1,973$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.99 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 54c | 1,912$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.74 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 19c | 1,063$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.94 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,057$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…9d19backed Yes | 68c | 1,034$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 74c | 828.67$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 63cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x94a9…79f6backed Yes | 80c | 810.68$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 18c | 591.27$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.26 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…8864backed Yes | 74c | 474.89$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 43c | 399.74$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.9 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 17c | 381.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.61 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 80c | 281.7$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.97 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 20c | 256.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b05…d88ebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 62c | 240.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 57c | 138$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 38c | 123$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…315dbacked Yes | 49c | 122.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40aa…85ddbacked Yes | 46c | 109.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…637ebacked No | 19c | 76.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 80c | 75.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 80c | 75.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…5715backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 60c | 59.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe2…8f71backed Yes | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…7a3fbacked Yes | 80c | 28.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…fa8fbacked Yes | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…cb20backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?No won
- Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2025-10-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.