Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea0aa58b264d7292da2ffd5209138bbe342586f04ef59448a9e19f0025e5379c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000.03 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 50c | 39,601$19,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800.5 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 52c | 12,654$6,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,564.02 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…36f0backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 6,993$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 27c | 4,741$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.13 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 48c | 2,511$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.87 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 1,291$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.55 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 49c | 1,012$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.21 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 72c | 706.96$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 49c | 598.27$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.21 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 71c | 505.05$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 326.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 62c | 285$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…9774backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 49c | 199$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 36c | 191.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…d6cbbacked No | 52c | 186.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 20c | 172.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 42c | 157$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 40c | 157$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…28d5backed Yes | 50c | 151.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 20c | 137.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…d599backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 126.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 23c | 101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…61a9backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…5715backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 75c | 39.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 34.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Yes | 80c | 31.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 44c | 26.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 53c | 20.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84a…fb00backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.