TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9849…36f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+486.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kennesaw State Owls (-3.5)backed Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$58.82
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$18.36
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-4.5)backed Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$72.95
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$82.4
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Cal Poly Mustangs (W)backed Cal State Fullerton Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+88%+$9.83
Central State Marauders vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Central State Marauders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.03
Misericordia Cougars vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Misericordia Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Longwood Lancers vs. Ole Miss Rebels (W)backed Longwood Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14.71
Marywood Pacers vs. American Eaglesbacked Marywood Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. UCF Knights (W)backed Florida A&M Rattlers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.64
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Army Black Knights (W)backed New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Benedictine Mesa Redhawks vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds (W)backed Benedictine Mesa Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Tougaloo Bulldogs vs. Southern Jaguars (W)backed Tougaloo Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Longwood Lancersbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-5.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+9,900%+$990
Boston College Eagles vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$69.3
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$73.72
LaMelo Ball: Assists Over 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.69
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds Over 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Kyle Kuzma: Assists Over 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$52.3
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60.11
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$55.2
Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+80.9%+$17.87
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$9.84
Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.86
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$26
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Washington State (-6.5)backed Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29.04
Spread: Ole Miss (-14.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.85
Toledo vs. Bowling: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.9
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+3,233.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.15
Valorant: MIBR Female vs Ninetails - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ninetails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Acend (BO3)backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+67.8%+$35.68
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3)backed Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malawi win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$24.05
Will South Africa vs. Zambia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+34%+$11.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Yi vs Erigaisi (Advances)backed Erigaisi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$319.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jack Catterall vs Ekow Essuman Nov 15, 2025backed Essuman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Atlético Tordesillas vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on October 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.