AI · resolved market
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ef25537a6c6d86e601eb75b4f5468fc0902fd39005b0beba4d56a00f0bdaa1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 39c | 5,832$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.85 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4235…3574backed Yes | 50c | 4,342$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 53c | 3,311$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 2c | 3,227$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,886$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,202$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,656$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 65c | 1,570$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c70…f9e1backed No | 50c | 1,550$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…0c2fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,001$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…087fbacked Yes | 66c | 714.16$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 49c | 637.32$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.86 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a3…2a32backed Yes | 65c | 500$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.96 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 41c | 418.24$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.18 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 38c | 383.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.32 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 31c | 323.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.77 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…c66fbacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed Yes | 76c | 263.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…c351backed Yes | 70c | 262.84$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…5bc9backed Yes | 5c | 256.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 74c | 220.34$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 72c | 220.28$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 41c | 199.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde10…1139backed Yes | 64c | 186.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 53cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 33c | 182.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 79c | 175.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab0…1b0bbacked No | 31c | 164.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 33c | 164$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 40c | 149.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…0491backed Yes | 75c | 148.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 47c | 145.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 73c | 137.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 45c | 124.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed Yes | 68c | 103.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…63d9backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…e5c4backed Yes | 54c | 97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…b971backed No | 57c | 96.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Yes | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…4edbbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…d4bcbacked Yes | 76c | 64.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 23c | 62.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…ae31backed Yes | 68c | 55.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…d384backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed Yes | 49c | 49.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…833dbacked Yes | 70c | 42.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…c54fbacked No | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 30c | 38.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 39c | 30.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…77b1backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes | 64c | 27.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…fd27backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…e006backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…36f0backed Yes | 53c | 23.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a2…eb8abacked No | 66c | 15.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0546…594bbacked Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…2ef0backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year?this page
- Will APT. by Rosé and Bruno Mars be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will Beautiful Things by Benson Boone be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will Birds of a Feather by Billie Eilish be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will Die With A Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will Lose Control by Teddy Swims be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.