AI · resolved market
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf31a6376b45a1e3e3af86d786ad9d8e640db5f6c2e83ab3772fad744eafb7f14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 19c | 6,131$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.27 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,235$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked No | 68c | 3,321$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 31c | 1,915$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed No | 71c | 1,815$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.36 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…176dbacked No | 70c | 1,386$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +257.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…753bbacked No | 78c | 1,055$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…087fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,033$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 55c | 926.88$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.76 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 73c | 924.08$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.91 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…0004backed Yes | 29c | 817.76$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d10abacked Yes | 29c | 753.4$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 12c | 715.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 63c | 695.74$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.74 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +16.6wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…c042backed Yes | 29c | 662.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…a949backed No | 54c | 607.41$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 28c | 601.15$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…c54fbacked Yes | 10c | 589.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 5c | 568.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 36c | 557.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 7c | 444.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 66c | 411.92$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…fa2abacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 29c | 359.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 36c | 358.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 317$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…27eabacked No | 71c | 289.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed Yes | 12c | 248$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 14c | 243.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 71c | 229.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…148cbacked Yes | 45c | 222.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed No | 71c | 219.42$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 69c | 211.46$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…060fbacked Yes | 39c | 207.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…ab1cbacked Yes | 29c | 204.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 41c | 201$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 15c | 201$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 22c | 199.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 46c | 194.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 67c | 171.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 10c | 161$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…9b5fbacked No | 76c | 148.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…2d2cbacked Yes | 10c | 146$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb735…4060backed Yes | 46c | 145$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Yes | 10c | 116$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…9b5fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…da31backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…f8fdbacked No | 79c | 90.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 12c | 86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 63c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f15…12dfbacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 37c | 64.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 18c | 63.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde10…1139backed No | 70c | 63.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 53cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…b4c3backed Yes | 49c | 57.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…af7fbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 36c | 56.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd5…1492backed No | 72c | 53.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +485.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 57c | 50.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 51c | 48.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…3044backed Yes | 48c | 42.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…e5c4backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…32afbacked Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 52c | 21.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…f33ebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?this page
- Will APT. by Rosé and Bruno Mars be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will Beautiful Things by Benson Boone be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will Birds of a Feather by Billie Eilish be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will Die With A Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will Lose Control by Teddy Swims be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
- Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.